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Turkey Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 57.58B in May 2025, up 6B from April's 51.58B reading. The print exceeded the 45B consensus by 12.58B. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 82.64B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 83.74B, vs 94.51B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 7th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TRY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/TRY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Turkey) was reported at 70.41 billion in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 71.11 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 71.61, ranging from 53.12 to 87.34 across 45 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 71.91, up from the prior three at 70.00. Volatility over the past year (σ 10.89) is lower than the prior year (σ 12.55). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 85.35.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/TRY (Bullish TRY). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/TRY, negatively correlated (Bullish TRY).
The next release is scheduled for September 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Sep 21) and Consumer Confidence (Sep 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 70.41 B. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 71.11 B. Before that (Aug 2026): 74.23 B.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/TRY (Bullish TRY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Auto Production YoY | -19.2 | -11 | -28.65 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Auto Sales YoY | -25 | -15 | -27.25 | Low | ||