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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Participation Rate fell to 52.5% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Turkey Participation Rate fell to 52.5% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.4% from June's 52.9% reading. The reading matched the 52.9% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.8%. Over the past 3 months, Participation Rate averaged 52.7%, vs 52.7% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
52.5
Actual
52.9
Consensus
52.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.37 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 52.83
Actual: 52.5
Error: +0.33
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| USD/TRY | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Participation Rate (Turkey) was reported at 52.5% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 52.9% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 52.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 53.05%, ranging from 52.1% to 54% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 52.73%, up from the prior three at 52.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.62%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.48%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Participation Rate has averaged 53.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.37%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Sep 21) and Consumer Confidence (Sep 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Participation Rate - TR
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About Participation Rate — Turkey
DEFINITION
The participation rate is a financial indicator that measures the percentage of the working-age population that is either employed or actively seeking employment. It is used to assess the level of labor force participation in an economy and can provide insights into the overall health and strength of the job market. A higher participation rate is generally seen as a positive sign of a robust economy, while a lower rate may indicate a weaker job market. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers to inform decisions related to employment and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 52.5 %, consensus 52.9 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 52.9 %. Before that (May 2026): 52.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.62) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Production YoY | -19.2 | -11 | -28.65 | Low | |
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Sales YoY | -25 | -15 | -27.25 | Low | |