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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 14.55% in January 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased May 2026
Taiwan GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 14.55% in January 2026, released May 2026, up 1.6% from December's 12.95% reading. The print exceeded the 13.69% consensus by 0.86%. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 70 months.
Latest Release
14.55
Actual
13.69
Consensus
12.95
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.99 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 13.69
Actual: 14.55
Error: -0.86
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.82 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 14.55% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 13.69% by 0.86%. The reading rose from the previous value of 12.95%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.24%, ranging from 7.64% to 14.55% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.29%, up from the prior three at 7.95%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.71%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.22%). In May readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 8.86%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.99%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - TW
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 14.55 %, consensus 13.69 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 13.69 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 12.65 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.82) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.