Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 12.93% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased August 2026
Taiwan GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 12.93% in April 2026, released August 2026, down 2.5% from March's 15.43% reading. The reading matched the 12.92% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 9.78%. The reading is in the 86th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
12.93
Actual
12.92
Consensus
15.43
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.08 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 13.67
Actual: 12.93
Error: +0.73
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TWD | ▲ Direct | +0.90 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 12.93% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 12.92% by 0.01%. The reading fell from the previous value of 15.43%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 11.65%, ranging from 7.64% to 14.55% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.47%, up from the prior three at 11.18%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.44%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.07%). In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 8.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/TWD (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.08%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
SHARE
GDP Growth Rate YoY - TW
Loading chart data...
About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 12.93 %, consensus 12.92 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 12.92 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 14.55 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/TWD (Bullish USD, r=0.90) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP