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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 14.36% in July 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased October 2026
Taiwan GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 14.36% in July 2026, released October 2026, up 1.43% from June's 12.93% reading. The print exceeded the 12.0% consensus by 2.36%. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. The reading is in the 92nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
14.36
Actual
12
Consensus
12.93
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.08 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 13.67
Actual: 12.93
Error: +0.73
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TWD | ▲ Direct | +0.90 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 14.36% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 12% by 2.36%. The reading rose from the previous value of 12.93%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 11.65%, ranging from 7.64% to 14.55% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.47%, up from the prior three at 11.18%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.44%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.07%). In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 8.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/TWD (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.08%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - TW
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 14.36 %, consensus 12 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 12.93 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 12.92 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/TWD (Bullish USD, r=0.90) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 14.36 | 12.93 | 12 | 13.12 | Low |