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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 12.92% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased July 2026
Taiwan GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 12.92% in April 2026, released July 2026, down 1.63% from March's 14.55% reading. The print exceeded the 10.8% consensus by 2.12%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 8.95%. The reading is in the 86th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
12.92
Actual
10.8
Consensus
14.55
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.99 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 13.69
Actual: 14.55
Error: -0.86
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.82 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 12.92% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 10.8% by 2.12%. The reading fell from the previous value of 14.55%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.24%, ranging from 7.64% to 14.55% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.29%, up from the prior three at 7.95%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.71%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.22%). In May readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 8.86%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.99%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - TW
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 12.92 %, consensus 10.8 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 14.55 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 13.69 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.82) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |
| 08:00 | TW | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |