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Ukraine's Current Account deficit of -26.90 billion UAH significantly missed the estimate of -3.50 billion UAH, marking a sharp deterioration from the previous -3.20 billion UAH. This substantial widening signals a deepening external imbalance, raising concerns about financial stability. Market participants will closely watch policy responses aimed at stabilizing the currency and managing external vulnerabilities. Updated 12/2/25
| Monday, December 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | UA | Current Account | - | -1.945 | -2.3 | -1.66 | Low |
| Monday, December 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | UA | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.03 | Low |
| 15:00 | UA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | - | 3.7 | 2 | 2.38 | Low |
| 14:30 | UA | Balance of Trade | -2307 | -2753 | -2900 | -2794.48 | Low |
| Friday, December 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:30 | UA | Balance of Trade | - | -2755.5 | -2900 | -2794.48 | Low |
| Thursday, December 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UA | Interest Rate Decision | 13.5 | 13 | 13 | 13.17 | Low |
| Tuesday, December 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.17 | Low |
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 11.2 | 9.7 | 10.3 | 10.65 | Low |
| Friday, December 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.03 | Low |
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | - | 3.7 | 2 | 2.38 | Low |
| Friday, November 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | UA | Current Account | -1.945 | -2.448 | -3 | -2.36 | Low |
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.03 | Low |
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | - | 3.7 | 2 | 2.38 | Low |
| Tuesday, November 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | - | 3.7 | 2 | 2.38 | Low |
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.03 | Low |
| Friday, November 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | UA | Balance of Trade | -2755.5 | -2470.5 | -2700 | -2594.48 | Low |
| Tuesday, November 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | - | 3.7 | 2 | 2.38 | Low |
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.03 | Low |
| Friday, November 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.37 | Low |
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 9.7 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 9.45 | Low |
| Tuesday, November 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | - | 3.7 | 2 | 2.38 | Low |
| 13:45 | UA | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.03 | Low |
| Thursday, October 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | UA | Current Account | -2.396 | 3.145 | -0.6 | 0.04 | Low |
| Friday, October 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | UA | Balance of Trade | -2704.4 | -2632.1 | -2800 | -2694.48 | Low |
| 13:30 | UA | Balance of Trade | -2470.5 | -2704.4 | -2800 | -2694.48 | Low |
| Thursday, October 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 8.6 | 7.5 | 8 | 8.35 | Low |
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.87 | Low |
| Monday, October 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UA | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 38.9 | 42.3 | 42 | 40.95 | Low |
| Monday, September 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | UA | Current Account | 3.197 | -2.242 | -1.4 | -0.76 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 25, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:10 | UA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.7 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 4.58 | Low |
| 12:10 | UA | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.63 | Low |
| Thursday, September 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UA | Interest Rate Decision | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13.17 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.57 | Low |
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 7.5 | 5.4 | 6 | 6.35 | Low |
| Friday, August 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:15 | UA | Current Account | -2.241 | -2.15 | -2.8 | -2.16 | Low |
| Friday, August 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | UA | Balance of Trade | - | -2222 | -1800 | -1694.48 | Low |
| Friday, August 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.07 | Low |
| 12:00 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.4 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 5.85 | Low |
| Wednesday, July 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | UA | Current Account | -2.201 | -1.697 | -1 | -0.36 | Low |
| Wednesday, July 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.8 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.15 | Low |
| 12:30 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.67 | Low |
| Friday, July 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UA | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 37.9 | 39 | 41.5 | 40.45 | Low |
| Tuesday, June 25, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:40 | UA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 6.5 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.88 | Low |
| 14:40 | UA | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.93 | Low |
| Friday, June 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:40 | UA | Balance of Trade | -2549 | -2687 | -1300 | -1194.48 | Low |
| Thursday, June 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UA | Interest Rate Decision | 13 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 12.67 | Low |
| Monday, June 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.75 | Low |
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.67 | Low |
| Friday, May 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UA | Current Account | -1.516 | -1.569 | -1.1 | -0.46 | Low |
| Wednesday, May 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Balance of Trade | -2687 | -1547 | -1400 | -1294.48 | Low |
| Friday, May 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.75 | Low |
| 12:00 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.27 | Low |
| Monday, May 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 42.4 | 43.8 | 42 | 40.95 | Low |
| Tuesday, April 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | UA | Current Account | -1.595 | -0.123 | -1.6 | -0.96 | Low |
| Thursday, April 25, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UA | Interest Rate Decision | 13.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14.67 | Low |
| Monday, April 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:10 | UA | Balance of Trade | -1547 | -1679.7 | -1300 | -1194.48 | Low |
| Tuesday, April 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:35 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.47 | Low |
| 12:25 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 4.15 | Low |
| Friday, April 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | UA | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 43.8 | 37.1 | 38 | 36.95 | Low |
| Friday, March 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | UA | Balance of Trade | -1678.1 | -3015.4 | -2400 | -2294.48 | Low |
| Thursday, March 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UA | Interest Rate Decision | 14.5 | 15 | 15 | 15.17 | Low |
| Friday, March 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:15 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1 | 1.27 | Low |
| 13:15 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.3 | 4.7 | 5 | 5.35 | Low |
| Wednesday, March 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:50 | UA | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 37.1 | 38.5 | 40 | 38.95 | Low |
| Friday, March 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Current Account | -0.51 | -0.728 | -1.3 | -0.66 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | UA | Balance of Trade | -3015.4 | -2173 | -2900 | -2794.48 | Low |
| Friday, February 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.07 | Low |
| 13:00 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.7 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.55 | Low |
| Tuesday, February 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:20 | UA | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 38.5 | 40.5 | 40.9 | 39.85 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:50 | UA | Current Account | -0.797 | -1.508 | -0.8 | -0.16 | Low |
| Thursday, January 25, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UA | Interest Rate Decision | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15.17 | Low |
| Monday, January 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:10 | UA | Balance of Trade | -2171.2 | -2937.7 | -2500 | -2394.48 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:35 | UA | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 5.25 | Low |
| 13:35 | UA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.77 | Low |
| Friday, January 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:10 | UA | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 40.5 | 38.8 | 41 | 39.95 | Low |