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United Kingdom NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
Latest Release
0.300000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.200000
Previous
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (United Kingdom) was reported at 0.3 in March 2026. This represents an increase from the previous value of 0.2. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100).
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NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker - UK
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, April 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | - | -12 | -2 | -3.83 | Medium |
| 09:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.6 | 6.59 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low |
| Wednesday, April 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -23 | -12 | -18 | -19.83 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 45.6 | 44.5 | 43.9 | 43.35 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | -0.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.73 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.15 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | -0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | -0.200000 | 1.300000 | 1.300000 | 0.73 | medium |
| Tuesday, April 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 50.5 | 53.9 | 51.2 | 50.78 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 50.3 | 53.7 | 51 | 50.57 | Low |
| 08:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 6.6 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 4.42 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.000000 | 53.700000 | 51.000000 | 50.57 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.200000 | 53.900000 | 51.200000 | 50.78 | low |
| Friday, April 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | - | 7.2 | 1.5 | 4.42 | Low |
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 3.500000 | 3.000000 | - | - | high |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51 | 51.7 | 51.4 | 51.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.000000 | 51.700000 | 51.400000 | 51.48 | low |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Current Account | -18.4 | -10.7 | -23.4 | -20.90 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.08 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.97 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.5 | 1.1 | -2.7 | -3.17 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2 | 3.5 | 2 | 1.82 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.08 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.98 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Business Investment | - | 2.5 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.000000 | 1.200000 | 1.000000 | 0.98 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.08 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2.000000 | 3.500000 | 2.000000 | 1.82 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.500000 | 1.100000 | -2.700000 | -3.17 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.000000 | 1.300000 | 1.000000 | 0.97 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Current Account | -18.400000 | -10.700000 | -23.400000 | -20.90 | medium |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.935 | 1.828 | 1.6 | 1.81 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.84 | 4.21 | 4.1 | 4.33 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 6.8 | 6 | 5.6 | 6.35 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 62.58 | 60.25 | 61.3 | 61.31 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | Consumer Credit | - | 1.812 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.8 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.95 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.800000 | 5.900000 | 5.600000 | 5.95 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | M3 Money Supply | 3228.400000 | 3210.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 62.580000 | 60.250000 | 61.300000 | 61.31 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 6.800000 | 6.000000 | 5.600000 | 6.35 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.840000 | 4.210000 | 4.100000 | 4.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.600000 | -0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.935000 | 1.828000 | 1.600000 | 1.81 | medium |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | 2 | -0.7 | -0.33 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 2.5 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 2.53 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | -0.4 | 2.2 | -0.8 | -0.35 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 3.4 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 3.42 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -21 | -19 | -24 | -23.50 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | -10.7 | -8.2 | 8 | -0.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -58.400000 | -65.500000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 3.400000 | 5.900000 | 2.900000 | 3.42 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | -0.400000 | 2.200000 | -0.800000 | -0.35 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 2.500000 | 4.800000 | 2.100000 | 2.53 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | -0.400000 | 2.000000 | -0.700000 | -0.33 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Car Production YoY | -10.700000 | -8.200000 | 8.000000 | -0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -21.000000 | -19.000000 | -24.000000 | -23.50 | medium |
| Thursday, March 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | 30-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 5.520000 | 5.290000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, March 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | - | -43 | -16 | -24.33 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.13 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | -0.5 | 0 | 0.2 | -0.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | -0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.5 | 0.40 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.53 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.15 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 1.9 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | CPI YoY | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | CPI MoM | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.300000 | 1.900000 | 1.700000 | 1.13 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core RPI MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core RPI YoY | 3.500000 | 3.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 1.900000 | 2.900000 | 3.200000 | 2.70 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.000000 | 3.000000 | 3.000000 | 3.00 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.200000 | 3.100000 | 3.100000 | 3.15 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.38 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.600000 | -0.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.53 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.600000 | 3.800000 | 3.700000 | 3.65 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | -0.800000 | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | -0.18 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 0.800000 | 0.300000 | 0.500000 | 0.65 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | 0.500000 | -0.400000 | 0.400000 | 0.25 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | -0.500000 | 0.000000 | 0.200000 | -0.05 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 1.700000 | 2.500000 | 2.600000 | 2.18 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.40 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI YoY | 3.000000 | 3.000000 | 3.000000 | 3.00 | high |
| Tuesday, March 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -52 | -43 | -40 | -48.33 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 51.7 | 51.1 | 51.15 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 53.9 | 51.8 | 51.95 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 53.7 | 52 | 52.30 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51 | 53.7 | 52.9 | 52.47 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.4 | 51.7 | 50.1 | 50.18 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.2 | 53.9 | 53 | 52.58 | High |
| 00:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -52.000000 | -43.000000 | -40.000000 | -48.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.911000 | 4.585000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.200000 | 53.900000 | 53.000000 | 52.58 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.400000 | 51.700000 | 50.100000 | 50.18 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.000000 | 53.700000 | 52.900000 | 52.47 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Sales MoM | -37.500000 | -1.500000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, March 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -27 | -28 | -29 | -28.83 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | -14.3 | 31.9 | -8.5 | -8.53 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -65.500000 | -84.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -27.000000 | -28.000000 | -29.000000 | -28.83 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | -14.300000 | 31.900000 | -8.500000 | -8.53 | low |
| Thursday, March 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 49 | 29 | 22.67 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 99 | 59 | 79 | 85.33 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 12:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 84 | 52 | -4 | 40.67 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 24.7 | 4.7 | 25.8 | 26.53 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.8 | 4.1 | 4 | 3.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.87 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.28 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 9.000000 | 9.000000 | 9.000000 | 9.00 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 99.000000 | 59.000000 | 79.000000 | 85.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9.000000 | 49.000000 | 29.000000 | 22.67 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | 20.000000 | 6.000000 | 5.000000 | 9.83 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.200000 | 5.200000 | 5.300000 | 5.28 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.900000 | 4.200000 | 3.900000 | 3.87 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.800000 | 4.100000 | 4.000000 | 3.90 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 24.700000 | 4.700000 | 25.800000 | 26.53 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Employment Change | 84.000000 | 52.000000 | -4.000000 | 40.67 | high |
| Tuesday, March 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.228000 | 3.810000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, March 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.800000 | 0.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | -0.200000 | 0.000000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, March 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.2 | -0.02 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.32 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.13 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.45 | -22.72 | -22.2 | -19.57 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.1 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 0.13 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.88 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | - | -0.5 | 0 | -0.10 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -84.200000 | -72.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.300000 | 0.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | 0.200000 | -0.500000 | 0.000000 | -0.10 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.300000 | 0.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.100000 | -0.05 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.800000 | 0.700000 | 0.900000 | 0.88 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | 3.922000 | -4.340000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.100000 | -0.500000 | 0.200000 | 0.13 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.450000 | -22.720000 | -22.200000 | -19.57 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.13 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -3.460000 | -10.990000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.300000 | 0.500000 | 1.500000 | 1.32 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.600000 | 0.35 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.100000 | -0.900000 | 0.200000 | -0.02 | medium |
| Thursday, March 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -12 | -10 | -9 | -10.83 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 46.000000 | 49.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -12.000000 | -10.000000 | -9.000000 | -10.83 | medium |
| Tuesday, March 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 0.700000 | 2.300000 | 2.400000 | 2.00 | medium |
| Friday, March 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.59 | 6.62 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.53 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | -0.1 | NaN | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -72.700000 | -57.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.590000 | 6.620000 | 6.600000 | 6.60 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.300000 | 0.800000 | -0.100000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.300000 | 1.100000 | 1.100000 | 0.53 | medium |
| Thursday, March 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 44.5 | 46.4 | 47 | 46.45 | Medium |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 7.2 | 3.4 | 1 | 3.92 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 3.810000 | 4.001000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 44.500000 | 46.400000 | 47.000000 | 46.45 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 3.000000 | 2.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Passenger Car Registrations | 90100.000000 | 144127.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 7.200000 | 3.400000 | 1.000000 | 3.92 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 7.200000 | 3.400000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, March 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.9 | 54 | 53.9 | 53.48 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.7 | 53.7 | 53.9 | 53.47 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.700000 | 53.700000 | 53.900000 | 53.47 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.900000 | 54.000000 | 53.900000 | 53.48 | low |
| Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.43 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.100000 | 1.500000 | 1.400000 | 1.43 | low |
| Monday, March 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 5.9 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 4.55 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.812 | 1.652 | 1.2 | 1.41 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.7 | 51.8 | 52 | 52.08 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.08 | 4.49 | 4.2 | 4.43 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | -0.1 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -0.02 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 60 | 61.01 | 62.5 | 62.51 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.55 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 0.98 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 5.900000 | 6.100000 | 6.200000 | 6.55 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 60.000000 | 61.010000 | 62.500000 | 62.51 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | -0.100000 | 0.400000 | -0.200000 | -0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.080000 | 4.490000 | 4.200000 | 4.43 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Money Supply | 3207.700000 | 3212.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.700000 | 51.800000 | 52.000000 | 52.08 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.812000 | 1.652000 | 1.200000 | 1.41 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 5.900000 | 6.100000 | 3.800000 | 4.55 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.100000 | 0.98 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.25 | medium |
| Friday, February 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | -8.2 | 17.7 | 5.3 | -3.18 | Low |
| 00:01 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -19 | -16 | -16 | -15.50 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -57.100000 | -42.400000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -19.000000 | -16.000000 | -16.000000 | -15.50 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Car Production YoY | -8.200000 | 17.700000 | 5.300000 | -3.18 | low |
| Wednesday, February 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | - | -17 | -30 | -38.33 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -43 | -17 | -17 | -25.33 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -43.000000 | -17.000000 | -17.000000 | -25.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.400000 | 3.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations MoM | -1.500000 | -3.200000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, February 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.400000 | 3.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations MoM | -1.500000 | -3.200000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, February 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | - | -30 | -25 | -24.83 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | 53.9 | 54 | 53.6 | 53.75 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | 53.9 | 53.7 | 53.3 | 53.60 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | 52 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 51.95 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.9 | 53.7 | 53.3 | 52.87 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52 | 51.8 | 51.5 | 51.58 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.9 | 54 | 53.5 | 53.08 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | 30.4 | -13.4 | 19 | 18.97 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 4.5 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.13 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.55 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.57 | High |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -42.400000 | -25.800000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.900000 | 54.000000 | 53.500000 | 53.08 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.000000 | 51.800000 | 51.500000 | 51.58 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.900000 | 53.700000 | 53.300000 | 52.87 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | 52.000000 | 51.800000 | 51.900000 | 51.95 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | 53.900000 | 53.700000 | 53.300000 | 53.60 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | 53.900000 | 54.000000 | 53.600000 | 53.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 1.800000 | 0.400000 | 0.200000 | 0.57 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 5.500000 | - | 3.400000 | 3.92 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 2.000000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.55 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 4.500000 | 1.900000 | 2.700000 | 3.13 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | 30.400000 | -13.400000 | 19.000000 | 18.97 | low |
| Thursday, February 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -28 | -30 | -25 | -24.83 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -28.000000 | -30.000000 | -25.000000 | -24.83 | medium |
| Wednesday, February 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.23 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.5 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -0.42 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.05 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | 3.00 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.6 | -0.57 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.85 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.75 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0 | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.78 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | -0.5 | 0.7 | -0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | CPI | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | NaN | High |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 1.800000 | 1.23 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | -0.500000 | 0.700000 | -0.100000 | -0.20 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 2.500000 | 3.100000 | 3.200000 | 2.78 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0.000000 | -0.100000 | 0.100000 | -0.15 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.900000 | - | 3.300000 | 2.80 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -0.200000 | 0.500000 | 0.900000 | 0.75 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.200000 | - | 0.100000 | -0.18 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.800000 | 4.200000 | 3.900000 | 3.85 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | 0.100000 | 0.25 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | -0.600000 | 0.300000 | -0.600000 | -0.57 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.100000 | 3.200000 | 3.000000 | 3.05 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.500000 | 0.400000 | -0.400000 | -0.42 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.000000 | 3.400000 | 3.000000 | 3.00 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Core RPI YoY | 3.700000 | 4.100000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core RPI MoM | -0.500000 | 0.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 3.000000 | 3.400000 | 3.000000 | NaN | high |
| Tuesday, February 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.08 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 28.6 | 2.7 | 22 | 22.73 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 52 | 82 | -40 | 4.67 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.37 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Labour Productivity QoQ | -0.600000 | - | -0.500000 | -0.55 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.200000 | 4.600000 | 4.400000 | 4.37 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -11.000000 | - | -10.000000 | -5.17 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Employment Change | 52.000000 | 82.000000 | -40.000000 | 4.67 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 4.200000 | - | 4.400000 | 4.30 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 28.600000 | 2.700000 | 22.000000 | 22.73 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.200000 | 5.100000 | 5.100000 | 5.08 | high |
| Monday, February 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.000000 | 2.800000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 0.000000 | 0.500000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, February 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | - | -14 | -12 | -13.83 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -25.800000 | -13.900000 | - | - | medium |
| Thursday, February 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.03 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.03 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.02 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.28 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -4.34 | -11.33 | -6 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.75 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.9 | 1.3 | -0.2 | -0.42 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.92 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.5 | 1.9 | -0.3 | -0.37 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | -0.5 | -0.8 | 0.5 | 0.40 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -10 | -14 | -12 | -13.83 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 49.000000 | 49.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.500000 | 1.900000 | -0.300000 | -0.37 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2.000000 | 2.500000 | 3.100000 | 2.92 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.900000 | 1.300000 | -0.200000 | -0.42 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.500000 | 2.300000 | 1.600000 | 1.35 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -0.300000 | -0.300000 | -0.800000 | -0.75 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -4.340000 | -11.330000 | -6.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.700000 | 1.200000 | 1.300000 | 1.28 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 0.500000 | 1.300000 | 1.200000 | 1.02 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -10.990000 | - | -11.200000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Orders YoY | 28.600000 | - | 25.000000 | 26.80 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.100000 | - | 0.200000 | 0.15 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.000000 | - | 1.200000 | 1.17 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.03 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.700000 | 1.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.03 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -22.720000 | - | -23.000000 | -20.37 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.18 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.18 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | -0.500000 | -0.800000 | 0.500000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.300000 | -0.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -10.000000 | -14.000000 | -12.000000 | -13.83 | medium |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 2.3 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.90 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.001000 | 3.821000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 2.300000 | 1.000000 | 1.300000 | 0.90 | medium |
| Saturday, February 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.57 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.4 | NaN | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.700000 | -0.600000 | 0.400000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.000000 | 0.300000 | 0.000000 | -0.57 | medium |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.62 | 6.77 | 6.7 | 6.70 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -13.900000 | -16.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.620000 | 6.770000 | 6.700000 | 6.70 | low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13.33 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 4 | 5 | 2 | -4.33 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 46.4 | 40.1 | 42.5 | 41.95 | Medium |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 3.4 | 3.9 | 2 | 4.92 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 2.900000 | 3.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 4.000000 | 5.000000 | 2.000000 | -4.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.00 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 5.000000 | 4.000000 | 7.000000 | 13.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 46.400000 | 40.100000 | 42.500000 | 41.95 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 3.400000 | 3.900000 | 2.000000 | 4.92 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.400000 | 3.900000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.7 | 51.4 | 53.9 | 53.47 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 54 | 51.4 | 54.3 | 53.88 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.000000 | 51.400000 | 54.300000 | 53.88 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.700000 | 51.400000 | 53.900000 | 53.47 | low |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.585000 | 4.456000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.8 | 50.6 | 51.6 | 51.68 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.3 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.38 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.800000 | 50.600000 | 51.600000 | 51.68 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.000000 | 0.600000 | 1.500000 | 1.38 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.300000 | -0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.55 | medium |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 61.01 | 64.07 | 64.4 | 64.41 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.524 | 2.143 | 1.9 | 2.11 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.88 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.6 | 4.59 | 4.6 | 4.83 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.1 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.45 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -16.200000 | -22.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.600000 | 4.590000 | 4.600000 | 4.83 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.300000 | 0.800000 | 0.700000 | 0.88 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.524000 | 2.143000 | 1.900000 | 2.11 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 6.100000 | - | 4.200000 | 4.95 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 61.010000 | 64.070000 | 64.400000 | 64.41 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.100000 | 6.600000 | 6.100000 | 6.45 | low |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | 17.7 | -14.3 | 6.7 | -1.78 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | Car Production YoY | 17.700000 | -14.300000 | 6.700000 | -1.78 | low |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.73 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations MoM | -3.200000 | 4.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.900000 | -1.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.500000 | 0.700000 | 0.700000 | 0.73 | low |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 51.4 | 51.7 | 52.00 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 50.6 | 50.8 | 50.85 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 51.4 | 51.5 | 51.65 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | - | 51.4 | 51.7 | 51.28 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | - | 50.6 | 50.6 | 50.68 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | - | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.17 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | - | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.23 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | - | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.22 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | - | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.15 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | Consumer Confidence | - | -17 | -17 | -16.50 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | - | -44 | -57 | -65.33 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | - | -11.65 | -15 | -15.03 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | - | -11.65 | -13.5 | -13.50 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | - | -32 | -28 | -27.83 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Business Optimism Index | - | -31 | -27 | -27.00 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | - | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.23 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | - | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | - | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | - | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.15 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | - | 1.1 | 1 | 0.85 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | - | 0 | 0.1 | -0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | - | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | - | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.88 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | - | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | - | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.10 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | - | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.47 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.40 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -43 | -38 | -20 | -15.17 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 82 | -16 | -25 | 19.67 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 17.9 | 20.1 | 20.5 | 21.23 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.08 | High |
| 00:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.100000 | 5.100000 | 5.100000 | 5.08 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 17.900000 | 20.100000 | 20.500000 | 21.23 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Employment Change | 82.000000 | -16.000000 | -25.000000 | 19.67 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -43.000000 | -38.000000 | -20.000000 | -15.17 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 4.500000 | 4.600000 | 4.500000 | 4.40 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.700000 | 4.700000 | 4.500000 | 4.47 | medium |
| Monday, January 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 2.800000 | -1.800000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 0.500000 | -0.600000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | - | -0.1 | -0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -25.300000 | -30.500000 | - | - | medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | - | -0.1 | -0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 12:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | - | -0.1 | -0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.1 | 0 | -0.2 | -0.25 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.43 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.03 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -11.46 | -11.81 | -9.1 | NaN | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -6.116 | -6.531 | -3.5 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | -0.12 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 2.3 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -0.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.48 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -23.71 | -24.17 | -20.4 | -17.77 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.08 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.1 | 0 | -0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | -1.3 | -1.2 | -0.3 | -0.40 | Low |
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -14 | -14 | -16 | -17.83 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 49.200000 | 47.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.400000 | 1.100000 | 1.100000 | 1.08 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -1.100000 | 0.900000 | 0.100000 | 0.15 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -23.710000 | -24.170000 | -20.400000 | -17.77 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.100000 | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 2.300000 | 0.400000 | -0.400000 | -0.65 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 1.100000 | 1.300000 | 0.100000 | -0.12 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -6.116000 | -6.531000 | -3.500000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -11.460000 | -11.810000 | -9.100000 | NaN | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.300000 | -0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.03 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 2.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.43 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.100000 | 0.000000 | -0.200000 | -0.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | -1.300000 | -1.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.100000 | 0.000000 | -0.200000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -14.000000 | -14.000000 | -16.000000 | -17.83 | medium |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.456000 | 4.613000 | - | - | low |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.20 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | - | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.03 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1.000000 | 1.200000 | 0.600000 | 0.20 | high |
| Sunday, January 1, 2023 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 119.35 | 119.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 32.22 | 32.22 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.68 | 2.68 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 142.74 | 142.74 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Labor force, total | 35193154.00 | 35193154.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.03 | 4.03 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP (current US$) | 3340032380668.00 | 3340032380668.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 6.79 | 6.79 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Population, total | 68350000.00 | 68350000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 138.19 | 138.19 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 31.66 | 31.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.31 | -3.31 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP growth (annual %) | 0.10 | 0.10 | - | - | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2022 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP growth (annual %) | 4.35 | 4.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 128.55 | 128.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 35.31 | 35.31 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.36 | 2.36 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 133.66 | 133.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Labor force, total | 34728540.00 | 34728540.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 3.77 | 3.77 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP (current US$) | 3088839763445.00 | 3088839763445.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | New businesses registered (number) | 790311.00 | 790311.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 7.92 | 7.92 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Population, total | 67791000.00 | 67791000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 141.24 | 141.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 33.57 | 33.57 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.25 | -3.25 | - | - | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2021 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 3.17 | 3.17 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.47 | -0.47 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP growth (annual %) | 8.67 | 8.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 137.90 | 137.90 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 29.40 | 29.40 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 3.28 | 3.28 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 123.85 | 123.85 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Labor force, total | 34238995.00 | 34238995.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.86 | 4.86 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.35 | 2.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP (current US$) | 3141506156618.70 | 3141506156618.70 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | New businesses registered (number) | 766688.00 | 766688.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 2.52 | 2.52 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Population, total | 67026292.00 | 67026292.00 | - | - | Medium |