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US Central government debt, total (% of GDP) climbed to 114.88 % of GDP in January 2023, up 1.99 % of GDP from December's 112.89 % of GDP reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | ||
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low | |
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | ||
| 20:00 | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | ||