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US GDP (current US$) climbed to 27,360,935,000,000 USD Billions in January 2023, up 1,616,827,000,000 USD Billions from December's 25,744,108,000,000 USD Billions reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Gross Domestic Product (United States) was reported at 31,856.26 Billions USD in October 2025. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 31,458.94 Billions USD, up from the prior three at 30,117.67 Billions USD. In January readings over the past 3 years, Gross Domestic Product has averaged 30,202.18 Billions USD.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Leading Index MoM (May 22) and Fed Waller Speech (May 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2026.
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| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.864 | -4.306 | -2.9 | -5.38 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 0.372 | 0.19 | -1.1 | -0.36 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -1.548 | -4.084 | -2.1 | -1.82 | Medium | |
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.442 | 1.363 | 1.39 | 1.53 | High | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | 12 | -3.5 | -3.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.507 | 1.41 | 1.44 | High | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 5.8 | -11.5 | 0.5 | 3.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1776 | 1790 | 1786.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.5 | 204 | 203 | 202.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 26.7 | 18 | 15.73 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 209 | 212 | 210 | 209.50 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 50.9 | 51 | 51.1 | 50.88 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.7 | 51.7 | 51.5 | 51.60 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.3 | 54.5 | 53.8 | 53.88 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.3 | 4 | 4 | 3.92 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 101 | 85 | 95 | 98.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8.50 | Low | |