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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS GDP (current US$) climbed to 27,360,935,000,000 USD Billions in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
US GDP (current US$) climbed to 27,360,935,000,000 USD Billions in January 2023, up 1,616,827,000,000 USD Billions from December's 25,744,108,000,000 USD Billions reading.
Latest Release
27360935000000
Latest (2023)
25744108000000
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World Bank
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Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product (United States) was reported at 32,486.07 Billions USD in January 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 32,475.21 Billions USD. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 31,924.77 Billions USD, up from the prior three at 30,541.96 Billions USD. In April readings over the past 3 years, Gross Domestic Product has averaged 30,706.28 Billions USD.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Jackson Hole Symposium (Aug 28) and Chicago PMI (Aug 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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GDP (current US$) - US
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About GDP (current US$) — United States
DEFINITION
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a widely used economic indicator that measures the total value of goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given period of time. It is a key measure of a country's economic health and is often used to track changes in the overall level of economic activity, as well as to compare the economic performance of different countries. GDP is an important tool for policymakers, investors, and businesses to understand and analyze the state of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 32,486.1 Billions USD. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 31,865.7 Billions USD. Before that (Oct 2025): 31,422.5 Billions USD.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.35 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.70 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.88 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Corporate Profits QoQ | 8.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.05 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.63 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.4 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.4 | 3.6 | 6.3 | 6.08 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.18 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 5.15 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.6 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 3.48 | Low |
| 14:10 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.6 | 4 | 4 | 4.03 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -2.228 | -1.53 | -1.6 | -2.03 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.536 | 0.688 | -0.7 | -1.20 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 0.095 | 4.405 | 0.6 | 0.67 | Medium |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -118.8 | -101.41 | -99 | -108.90 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205.5 | 204.25 | 203 | 203.13 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 203 | 207 | 208 | 207.75 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.35 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1778 | 1796 | 1790 | 1788.50 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -118.8 | -101.41 | -99 | -108.90 | High |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 15 | 16 | 20 | 17.75 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9.00 | Low |