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US GDP (current US$) climbed to 27,360,935,000,000 USD Billions in January 2023, up 1,616,827,000,000 USD Billions from December's 25,744,108,000,000 USD Billions reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP (Current US$) (United States) was reported at 30,769,700,000,000.00 USD in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 29,298,013,000,000.00 USD. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 29,293,076,666,666.67 USD, up from the prior three at 23,326,801,026,870.33 USD. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP (Current US$) has averaged 29,293,076,666,666.67 USD.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Composite PMI (Oct 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, October 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.952 | 3.518 | -0.4 | -1.68 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -3.061 | -8.557 | -0.8 | -1.93 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.675 | -2.527 | -1.2 | 0.24 | Low | |
| Thursday, October 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 197.75 | 198.75 | 200 | 198.06 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1728 | 1703 | 1720 | 1718.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 194 | 200 | 200 | 192.25 | High | |
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.05 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 67 | 79 | 77.75 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 11 | 14 | 11 | 11.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 16 | 20 | 18 | 19.00 | Low | |
| Friday, October 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 58.4 | 57.6 | 58.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.9 | 55.5 | 55.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 58.8 | 58 | 59.05 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 48.1 | 47.6 | 47.60 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 50.5 | 50.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 46.3 | 45.9 | 45.90 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | ||