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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS GDP growth (annual %) climbed to 2.54 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
US GDP growth (annual %) climbed to 2.54 Percentage (%) in January 2023, up 0.6 Percentage (%) from December's 1.94 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
2.54
Latest (2023)
1.94
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth (Annual %) (United States) was reported at 2.16 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.79 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.63 Percent, up from the prior three at 2.13 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged 2.63 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jul 21) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP growth (annual %) - US
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About GDP growth (annual %) — United States
DEFINITION
US GDP Growth (Annual %) slowed to 2.161382% in 2025, down from 2.793187% in 2024, marking a clear deceleration in economic expansion. The annual growth rate contracted compared to the prior year’s stronger pace, reflecting a moderation in economic momentum. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further signals on the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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