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US Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) fell to 0.7 Scale, 0-1 in January 2020, down 0.01 Scale, 0-1 from December's 0.71 Scale, 0-1 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, July 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -120 | -293 | -132.8 | -126.40 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -120 | -293 | -135.8 | -127.90 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, July 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.3 | 95.6 | 94.20 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.80 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 333.979 | 334 | 334.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI | 335.12 | 334.71 | 334.71 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.80 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Medium | ||
| 20:00 | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 103.1 | 128 | 139.00 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, July 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 157.659 | 159.1 | 158.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.5 | 7.2 | 6.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.05 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.50 | High | ||
| Thursday, July 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.9 | 6.7 | 6.70 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | ||
| Friday, July 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 5.4 | 5.45 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.2 | 1.20 | High | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.4 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.2 | 76.7 | 76.70 | Low | ||