Loading page content
Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) fell to 4.12 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
US Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) fell to 4.12 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 3.88 Percentage (%) from December's 8 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
4.12
Latest (2023)
8
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation, Consumer Prices (Annual %) (United States) was reported at 2.95 Percent in December 2024. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.12 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
SHARE
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) - US
Loading chart data...
About Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) — United States
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits MoM | -0.7 | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.45 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.413 | 1.423 | 1.42 | 1.42 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 4.2 | 6 | 6.35 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -15.4 | -8.5 | -2 | -8.70 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.392 | 1.43 | 1.30 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 11.2 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 10.80 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 2 | 1 | 1.45 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.25 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.07 | Medium |
| 20:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -8.33 | -9.119 | -4.5 | -6.42 | Medium |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.228 | -4.6 | -1.72 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.186 | -1 | -2.92 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.2 | -0.5 | -1.01 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1795 | 1800 | 1803.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 10 | 14.05 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 219 | 223 | 221.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 229 | 225 | 220.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Leading Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 81.3 | 75 | 46.95 | Medium | |