Loading page content
Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS JOLTs Job Quits fell to 2.98M in April 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased June 2026
US JOLTs Job Quits fell to 2.98M in April 2026, released June 2026, down 0.18M from March's 3.16M reading. The reading matched the 3.1M consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 3.16M. Over the past 3 months, JOLTs Job Quits averaged 3.08M, vs 3.16M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 7th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.977
Actual
3.1
Consensus
3.16
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 3.09
Actual: 2.98
Error: +0.11
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | STOCKS | Bearish AAPL | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
JOLTs Job Quits (United States) was reported at 2.98 million in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 3.10 million by 0.12 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.16 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.11 million, ranging from 2.97 million to 3.21 million across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.02 million, down from the prior three at 3.16 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.08 million) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.11 million). In June readings over the past 3 years, JOLTs Job Quits has averaged 3.23 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AAPL (Bearish AAPL). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.10 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
JOLTs Job Quits - US
Loading chart data...
About JOLTs Job Quits — United States
DEFINITION
Rate The JOLTs Job Quits Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of employees who voluntarily leave their jobs in a given time period. This data is used to assess the overall health of the job market and can provide insights into employee confidence and job market trends. A high quits rate may indicate a strong economy with ample job opportunities, while a low rate may suggest a weaker job market. This information is valuable for businesses, policymakers, and investors in making informed decisions about hiring, retention, and economic outlook.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.977 M, consensus 3.1 M. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 3.171 M. Before that (Feb 2026): 2.974 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AAPL (Bearish AAPL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.