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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS JOLTs Job Quits climbed to 3.07M in May 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased June 2026
US JOLTs Job Quits climbed to 3.07M in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.02M from April's 3.04M reading. The reading matched the 2.96M consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.13M. Over the past 3 months, JOLTs Job Quits averaged 3.07M, vs 3.11M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 14th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.065
Actual
2.96
Consensus
3.043
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.11 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 2.9
Actual: 3.07
Error: -0.17
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.91 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.88 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.81 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
JOLTs Job Quits (United States) was reported at 3.07 million in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.96 million by 0.11 million. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.04 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.10 million, ranging from 2.97 million to 3.21 million across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.01 million, down from the prior three at 3.16 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.08 million) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.09 million). In June readings over the past 3 years, JOLTs Job Quits has averaged 3.19 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.11 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 4, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Cost Index QoQ (Jul 31) and Employment Cost - Wages QoQ (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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JOLTs Job Quits - US
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About JOLTs Job Quits — United States
DEFINITION
Rate The JOLTs Job Quits Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of employees who voluntarily leave their jobs in a given time period. This data is used to assess the overall health of the job market and can provide insights into employee confidence and job market trends. A high quits rate may indicate a strong economy with ample job opportunities, while a low rate may suggest a weaker job market. This information is valuable for businesses, policymakers, and investors in making informed decisions about hiring, retention, and economic outlook.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 3.065 M, consensus 2.96 M. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2.977 M. Before that (Mar 2026): 3.171 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.91) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.167 | 2.011 | -1.3 | -4.23 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.007 | 0.765 | -0.7 | -0.35 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.062 | 1.395 | 0.2 | 0.63 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.63 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 188 | 200 | 192.75 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.88 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1789 | 1800 | 1786.75 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.90 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 207.75 | 210 | 205.06 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.82 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.52 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.45 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 28 | 32 | 35 | 33.00 | Low |