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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Lending interest rate (%) fell to 3.25% in January 2021
World BankYearlyReleased January 2021
US Lending interest rate (%) fell to 3.25% in January 2021, down 0.29% from December's 3.54% reading.
Latest Release
3.25
Latest (2021)
3.54
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
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Lending interest rate (%) - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.41 | 1.41 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.44 | 1.44 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 11.9 | 11.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.45 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |