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US Time required to start a business (days) fell to 4.2 Days in January 2019, down 1.4 Days from December's 5.6 Days reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.70 | High | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.88 | High | |
| 12:30 | Corporate Profits QoQ | 8.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.05 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.63 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High | |
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.4 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low | |
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.4 | 3.6 | 6.3 | 6.08 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.18 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 5.15 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.6 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 3.48 | Low | |
| 14:10 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.6 | 4 | 4 | 4.03 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -2.228 | -1.53 | -1.6 | -2.03 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.536 | 0.688 | -0.7 | -1.20 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 0.095 | 4.405 | 0.6 | 0.67 | Medium | |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -118.8 | -101.41 | -99 | -108.90 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205.5 | 204.25 | 203 | 203.13 | High | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 203 | 207 | 208 | 207.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.35 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1778 | 1796 | 1790 | 1788.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -118.8 | -101.41 | -99 | -108.90 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 15 | 16 | 20 | 17.75 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15.50 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9.00 | Low | |