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US Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) fell to 3.64 Percent in January 2023, down 0.01 Percent from December's 3.65 Percent reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, October 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.9 | 98.7 | 98 | 97.95 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | -3.2 | -0.3 | 0.60 | High | |
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 3.99 | 3.93 | 3.95 | 3.97 | High | |
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.085 | 4.05 | 4.009 | 4.05 | Low | |
| Wednesday, October 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -167 | -29 | -29.00 | Medium | ||
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -2.09 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 37.8 | 28.4 | 42.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.6 | 10.3 | 10.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1716 | 1710 | 1702.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 200 | 195.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 157.411 | 159.1 | 159.10 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198 | 199 | 198.13 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.45 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 6 | 5.2 | 5.20 | High | ||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 6 | 5.2 | 5.20 | High | ||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.45 | High | ||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium | ||