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US GDP (current US$) climbed to 27,360,935,000,000 USD Billions in January 2023, up 1,616,827,000,000 USD Billions from December's 25,744,108,000,000 USD Billions reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Gross Domestic Product (United States) was reported at 33,010.04 Billions USD in April 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 32,479.60 Billions USD, up from the prior three at 31,002.09 Billions USD. In July readings over the past 3 years, Gross Domestic Product has averaged 31,206.58 Billions USD.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Meeting (Nov 1) and ISM Manufacturing Employment (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a widely used economic indicator that measures the total value of goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given period of time. It is a key measure of a country's economic health and is often used to track changes in the overall level of economic activity, as well as to compare the economic performance of different countries. GDP is an important tool for policymakers, investors, and businesses to understand and analyze the state of a country's economy.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 33,010 Billions USD. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 32,563 Billions USD. Before that (Jan 2026): 31,865.7 Billions USD.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 77.9 | 78 | 78.40 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 52.7 | 53 | 54.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 54.7 | 55.50 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 55.3 | 55.4 | 56.05 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Construction Spending MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.45 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 54.7 | 55.50 | High | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 77.9 | 77.5 | 77.90 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 52.7 | 53 | 54.50 | Medium | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 55.3 | 55.4 | 56.05 | Low | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.05 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||
| 16:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.05 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.079 | 7.1 | 7.08 | High | ||
| 15:00 | Economic Optimism Index | 46.8 | 46.2 | 45.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.066 | 3.05 | 3.14 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Factory Orders ex Transportation | 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.05 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Factory Orders MoM | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.85 | Medium | ||
| 19:00 | Total Vehicle Sales | 16 | 15.9 | 19.80 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:15 | ADP Employment Change | 90 | 65 | 52.00 | High | ||
| 13:30 | Imports | 420.8 | 429.1 | 430.60 | Medium | ||
| 13:30 | Balance of Trade | -105.6 | -107.6 | -107.75 | Medium | ||
| 13:30 | Exports | 315.2 | 320.3 | 321.65 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Prices | 74 | 75 | 77.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services New Orders | 59.8 | 59.5 | 60.45 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services PMI | 54.9 | 54.5 | 54.30 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Employment | 50.1 | 50 | 47.70 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Business Activity | 56.5 | 56 | 57.55 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services PMI | 54.9 | 54.8 | 54.60 | High | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services New Orders | 59.8 | 59.5 | 60.45 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services Prices | 74 | 75 | 77.05 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services Employment | 50.1 | 50 | 47.70 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services Business Activity | 56.5 | 56 | 57.55 | Low | ||