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US GDP (current US$) climbed to 27,360,935,000,000 USD Billions in January 2023, up 1,616,827,000,000 USD Billions from December's 25,744,108,000,000 USD Billions reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Gross Domestic Product (United States) was reported at 31,819.46 Billions USD in October 2025. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 31,446.67 Billions USD, up from the prior three at 30,117.67 Billions USD. In January readings over the past 3 years, Gross Domestic Product has averaged 30,189.91 Billions USD.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2026.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a widely used economic indicator that measures the total value of goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given period of time. It is a key measure of a country's economic health and is often used to track changes in the overall level of economic activity, as well as to compare the economic performance of different countries. GDP is an important tool for policymakers, investors, and businesses to understand and analyze the state of a country's economy.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 31,819.5 Billions USD. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 31,422.5 Billions USD. Before that (Jul 2025): 31,098 Billions USD.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -0.7 | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.413 | 1.423 | 1.42 | 1.42 | High | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 4.2 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -15.4 | -8.5 | -2 | -8.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.392 | 1.43 | 1.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 11.2 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 10.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 2 | 1 | 1.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.25 | Medium | |
| 16:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.18 | Medium | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -8.33 | -9.119 | -4.5 | -6.42 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.70 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.9 | 4.8 | 4 | 5.45 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 4.8 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.90 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.30 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -8.262 | -7.228 | -4.6 | -4.08 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -0.906 | 0.186 | -1 | -1.94 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 0.951 | -0.2 | -0.5 | -0.39 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.68 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1795 | 1800 | 1803.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 10 | 14.05 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 219 | 223 | 221.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 229 | 225 | 220.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 20:00 | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 81.3 | 75 | 46.95 | Medium | ||