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United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr
Latest Release
3.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.400000
Previous
Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr (United States) was reported at 3.1 in March 2026. This represents a decline from the previous value of 3.4. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, April 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.5 | 1 | 1.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.7 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 20:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 6.1 | -1 | -1.00 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, April 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.913 | -1 | -1.00 | Medium | |
| Thursday, April 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 207 | 212 | 212.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1818 | 1838 | 1838.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.11 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 209.75 | 219 | 219.00 | Low | |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.3 | 52.5 | 52.50 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 49.8 | 50.1 | 50.10 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 50.3 | 49.9 | 49.90 | Medium | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 11 | 11 | 11.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 11 | 12 | 12.00 | Low | |