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United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr
Latest Release
3.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.400000
Previous
Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr (United States) was reported at 3.1 in March 2026. This represents a decline from the previous value of 3.4. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, April 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 4.5 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4.15 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.45 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 4.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.80 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Employment Cost Index QoQ | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.80 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Employment Cost - Wages QoQ | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.65 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 4.3 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 4.20 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 189 | 215 | 215 | 202.00 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.10 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.5 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 2 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.15 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1785 | 1808 | 1820 | 1802.50 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.15 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 207.5 | 211 | 220 | 213.75 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.10 | High |
| 13:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 49.2 | 52.8 | 53 | 54.30 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Leading Index MoM | 0.3 | 0 | -0.2 | 0.05 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 79 | 103 | 80 | 79.50 | Low |