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United States Participation Rate
Latest Release
62.000000
Actual
62.500000
Consensus
62.100000
Previous
Participation Rate (United States) was reported at 62 in March 2026. The reading missed the market consensus of 62.5 by 0.5, coming in below expectations. This represents a decline from the previous value of 62.1. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD) and negatively correlated with AAPL (Bearish AAPL).
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Participation Rate - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, April 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.580000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.360000 | 2.340000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6816.890000 | 6824.660000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.500000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, April 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.900000 | 4.890000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 2.900000 | 2.940000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.780000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.290000 | 4.290000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.340000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6824.660000 | 6824.660000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.610000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, April 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.610000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6693871.000000 | 6693871.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 21.040000 | 25.780000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.890000 | 4.890000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 2.940000 | 2.940000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.290000 | 4.290000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.330000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6782.810000 | 6782.810000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, April 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.780000 | 25.780000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.900000 | 4.900000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.120000 | 3.120000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.810000 | 3.810000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.610000 | 2.610000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.370000 | 2.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6616.850000 | 6616.850000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.620000 | 0.620000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, April 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.890000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 114.010000 | 114.010000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 4.120000 | 4.120000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 24.170000 | 24.170000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.050000 | 3.050000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.840000 | 3.840000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.340000 | 4.340000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.600000 | 2.600000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.360000 | 2.360000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6611.830000 | 6611.830000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.620000 | 0.620000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16.300000 | 15.800000 | 15.000000 | 15.33 | low |
| Sunday, April 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, April 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 219000.000000 | 219000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Friday, April 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.241200 | -0.241200 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.433000 | -0.433000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.656500 | 120.656500 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152300 | 1.152300 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.640000 | 159.640000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.130000 | 3.130000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.840000 | 3.840000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.350000 | 4.350000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.610000 | 2.610000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.360000 | 2.360000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.640000 | 0.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.400000 | 51.900000 | 51.400000 | 51.45 | low |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.100000 | 51.700000 | 51.100000 | 51.15 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16.300000 | 15.800000 | 15.000000 | 15.33 | low |
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.503000 | 120.119800 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 113.230000 | 101.900000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 127.610000 | 127.610000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.154600 | 1.161400 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.340000 | 158.630000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 23.870000 | 23.870000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.170000 | 3.170000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.310000 | 4.310000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.570000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.340000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6582.690000 | 6582.690000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.610000 | 0.630000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Balance Sheet | 6.680000 | 6.660000 | 6.600000 | 6.64 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 411.000000 | 409.000000 | 420.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.460000 | 6.380000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 15-Year Mortgage Rate | 5.770000 | 5.750000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 1.600000 | 1.900000 | 1.900000 | 1.73 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 4-Week Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.620000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 8-Week Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.630000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 36.000000 | -54.000000 | 34.000000 | 39.25 | low |
| 00:00 | US | All Truck Sales | 13.650000 | 13.080000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | All Car Sales | 2.700000 | 2.680000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -83.500000 | -80.900000 | -84.000000 | -83.75 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 207.750000 | 210.750000 | 214.000000 | 211.67 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Exports | 314.800000 | 302.200000 | 304.000000 | 303.70 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Imports | 372.100000 | 356.900000 | 364.000000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1841.000000 | 1816.000000 | 1840.000000 | NaN | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 202.000000 | 211.000000 | 212.000000 | NaN | high |
| 00:00 | US | Balance of Trade | -57.300000 | -54.700000 | -59.200000 | -64.23 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83.500000 | -80.900000 | -84.000000 | -83.75 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 60.620000 | 48.307000 | 90.000000 | 99.01 | low |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.119800 | 121.035000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 101.900000 | 102.860000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 119.560000 | 126.690000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.161400 | 1.151800 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.630000 | 159.080000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.540000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6575.320000 | 6528.520000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6675344.000000 | 6675344.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 24.540000 | 24.540000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.630000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 17-Week Bill Auction | 3.615000 | 3.635000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 2.000000 | 1.83 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Imports | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 5.451000 | 6.926000 | 0.800000 | 3.36 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change | -0.809000 | -0.241000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change | -0.219000 | 0.366000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Imports Change | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change | 0.000000 | 0.157000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Production Change | -0.152000 | 0.309000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change | 0.520000 | 3.421000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -2.111000 | 3.032000 | -0.600000 | -0.94 | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -0.585000 | -2.593000 | -1.900000 | -0.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW | -0.800000 | 1.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.300000 | 0.400000 | 0.300000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | -0.100000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.07 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 53.500000 | 55.800000 | 55.000000 | 56.92 | low |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 78.300000 | 70.500000 | 73.000000 | 74.10 | low |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.700000 | 52.400000 | 52.500000 | 53.65 | high |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.700000 | 48.800000 | 48.600000 | 49.45 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.300000 | 51.600000 | 52.400000 | 52.50 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.500000 | 0.000000 | 0.300000 | 0.38 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.700000 | 3.200000 | 2.900000 | 3.00 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.500000 | 0.200000 | 0.300000 | 0.30 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.400000 | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.25 | high |
| 00:00 | US | ADP Employment Change | 62.000000 | 66.000000 | 40.000000 | 42.25 | high |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Market Index | 278.300000 | 310.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Applications | -10.400000 | -10.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Refinance Index | 946.400000 | 1145.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.570000 | 6.430000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Purchase Index | 159.400000 | 163.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.160000 | 3.280000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Consumption Forecast | 104.382976 | 103.696894 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Production Forecast | 104.475189 | 101.816860 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.810000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.300000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 121.035000 | 121.285100 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 102.860000 | 104.690000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 126.690000 | 121.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.151800 | 1.145400 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.080000 | 159.490000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.540000 | 2.570000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.300000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6528.520000 | 6343.720000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.250000 | 30.610000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 10.263000 | 2.300000 | -1.300000 | 3.41 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.300000 | 1.680000 | 1.310000 | 1.31 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 9.020000 | 13.280000 | 9.140000 | 9.16 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 2.100000 | 3.290000 | 2.100000 | 2.10 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Services Index | -13.300000 | -3.200000 | -1.000000 | -7.15 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 1.300000 | 4.100000 | 4.000000 | 2.65 | low |
| 00:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 2.974000 | 3.131000 | 3.000000 | 2.99 | low |
| 00:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.882000 | 7.240000 | 6.920000 | 6.80 | high |
| 00:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 91.800000 | 91.000000 | 88.000000 | 87.42 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago PMI | 52.800000 | 57.700000 | 55.000000 | 56.70 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.600000 | 1.900000 | -0.200000 | 0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.100000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.17 | low |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index | 441.000000 | 440.700000 | 436.000000 | 437.57 | low |
| 00:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.200000 | 1.400000 | 1.300000 | 1.32 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | -0.100000 | -0.100000 | -0.200000 | -0.13 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Redbook YoY | 6.900000 | 6.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.280000 | 3.460000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.530000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.820000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.300000 | 4.350000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 121.285100 | 120.885100 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.145400 | 1.152000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.490000 | 160.160000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6343.720000 | 6368.850000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.990000 | 3.990000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 30.610000 | 31.050000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.640000 | 0.710000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.980000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 104.690000 | 104.690000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.880000 | 121.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.635000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 6-Month Bill Auction | 3.605000 | 3.630000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.700000 | 0.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.460000 | 3.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.530000 | 0.560000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.820000 | 3.880000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.350000 | 4.440000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1794000.000000 | 1794000.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 203000.000000 | 202000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.885100 | 120.885100 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.340000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6368.850000 | 6477.160000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152000 | 1.152000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 160.160000 | 160.160000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 31.050000 | 27.440000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.710000 | 0.690000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.182500 | -0.182800 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.441000 | -0.433660 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.980000 | 4.930000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 101.260000 | 96.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.470000 | 113.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Copper Speculative net positions | 37.500000 | 48.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | 233.600000 | 218.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Corn speculative net positions | 375.400000 | 312.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | -80.900000 | -113.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions | -0.700000 | -0.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Gold Speculative net positions | 168.300000 | 159.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Silver Speculative net positions | 24.700000 | 21.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions | 215.200000 | 221.100000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Wheat speculative net positions | -17.100000 | -25.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | 6.600000 | 24.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions | -172.600000 | -178.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 409.000000 | 414.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.200000 | 3.300000 | 3.200000 | 3.23 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 53.300000 | 56.600000 | 54.000000 | 54.90 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 51.700000 | 56.600000 | 54.000000 | 53.83 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.200000 | 3.300000 | 3.200000 | 3.23 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 3.800000 | 3.400000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 55.800000 | 56.600000 | 55.800000 | 57.13 | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.420000 | 3.210000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.560000 | 0.460000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 6454.000000 | - | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13657.000000 | - | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 240861.000000 | - | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 117825.000000 | - | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.880000 | 3.960000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, February 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 1.2 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 2.65 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.85 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 2.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.65 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.75 | Low |
| 13:00 | US | Building Permits | 4.8 | -1.6 | 4.3 | 4.42 | Low |
| Thursday, February 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.43 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | -0.8 | -7.4 | 6.5 | 2.85 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -0.4 | -3 | 2.4 | 1.00 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.43 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Leading Index MoM | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 16.3 | 12.6 | 7 | 12.97 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Exports | 287.3 | 292.3 | 289 | 288.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -70.3 | -53 | -58 | -63.03 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Imports | 357.6 | 345.3 | 347 | NaN | Medium |
| Wednesday, February 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.53 | Medium |
| 14:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.2 | 75.7 | 76.4 | 76.43 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.82 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.63 | Medium |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.7 | 0.77 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.404 | 1.322 | 1.29 | 1.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | 6.2 | 3.9 | -4.4 | 0.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | -1.4 | 0.4 | -3.4 | -1.85 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.60 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM | -2.5 | 6.6 | -4.3 | -3.40 | Low |
| Tuesday, February 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 36 | 37 | 41 | 39.00 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.1 | 7.7 | 3 | 5.70 | Medium |
| Friday, February 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 325.25 | 324.05 | 325.3 | 325.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.48 | High |
| Thursday, February 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.91 | 4.27 | 4.2 | 4.16 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -8.4 | 4.4 | -3.4 | -2.98 | Medium |
| Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -95 | -145 | -90 | -90.00 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -95 | -145 | -94.6 | -94.82 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | - | 324.05 | 325.3 | 325.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | - | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.48 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | - | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | - | 326.03 | 326.3 | 326.47 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 8 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.75 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | -42 | -16 | 8 | -17.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | 5 | -8 | -10 | -2.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.3 | 34.2 | 34.2 | 34.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 130 | 48 | 40 | 85.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | 62.5 | 62.4 | 62.3 | 62.40 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.40 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 172 | 64 | 32 | 102.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.03 | Medium |
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.03 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost Index QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.08 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost - Wages QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.3 | 99.5 | 99.8 | 99.67 | Low |
| Monday, February 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.25 | Low |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 24.05 | 4.7 | 9 | 16.52 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 56.6 | 57 | 55 | 54.83 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 57.3 | 56.4 | 53 | 53.90 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 58.3 | 55.4 | 53 | 54.33 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 3.5 | 4 | 4 | 3.98 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.32 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.32 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | - | 50 | 40 | 85.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | - | 34.2 | 34.2 | 34.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | - | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.40 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | - | 37 | 32 | 102.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | - | -8 | -10 | -2.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | - | 62.4 | 62.3 | 62.40 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.75 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | - | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | - | 13 | 8 | -17.00 | Low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.542 | 6.928 | 7 | 6.88 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 231 | 209 | 214 | NaN | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 212.25 | 206.25 | 210 | 207.67 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 108.435 | 35.553 | 43 | 52.01 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | - | 16 | 15.5 | 15.83 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 50.3 | 51.7 | 52.3 | 51.30 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 53.1 | 56.5 | 55 | 54.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.5 | 53.65 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 66.6 | 65.1 | 65 | 65.80 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.7 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.55 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53 | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 14.9 | 16 | 15.5 | 15.83 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 22 | 37 | 35 | 37.25 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47 | 46.97 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47.9 | 47.88 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | - | 7.146 | 7 | 6.88 | High |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | - | 3.161 | 3.15 | 3.14 | Low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.03 | Medium |
| 16:10 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.03 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.03 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 57.1 | 47.4 | 47.9 | 49.83 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.1 | 44.8 | 44.8 | 45.65 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 59 | 58.5 | 59.9 | 61.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.6 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 49.35 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 52.00 | Low |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 54 | 42.7 | 45 | 46.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.63 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.23 | Medium |
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.23 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | 2.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | 2.05 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -56.8 | -29.2 | -37 | -42.03 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Exports | 292.1 | 303 | 303 | 302.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Imports | 348.9 | 332.1 | 340 | NaN | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -1.90 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index | -3 | -6 | -2 | -2.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -11 | -6 | -5.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -6 | -7 | -3 | -4.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 84.5 | 94.2 | 90.6 | 90.02 | High |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.22 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.13 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index | 439.3 | 436.8 | 438 | 439.57 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.68 | Low |
| Monday, January 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.23 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 5.3 | -2.1 | 1.1 | 2.65 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.42 | -0.4 | -0.22 | Medium |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | - | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.42 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.17 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 53.72 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 54.90 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.42 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 54.83 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 52.5 | 52.3 | 52.30 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 51.8 | 52 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.80 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | - | 52.5 | 52.8 | 52.85 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | - | 51.8 | 52.1 | 52.20 | High |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | - | 1 | 4 | 4.00 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | - | -3 | 5 | 5.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.90 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | - | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.75 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.95 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Corporate Profits QoQ | - | 0.2 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | - | 198 | 195 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | - | 1884 | 1880 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.40 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | - | 205 | 203 | 200.67 | High |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | - | 7.5 | 4.6 | 3.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 3.25 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.85 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.85 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.40 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.13 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | - | 3.3 | 1.4 | -2.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | - | 2.6 | 0.2 | -1.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Construction Spending MoM | - | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.17 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 54.90 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 53.72 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.42 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 39 | 40 | 38.00 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 54.83 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.63 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | -0.13 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76 | 76 | 76.03 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.23 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -71 | -119 | -90 | -84.75 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 198 | 207 | 215 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.4 | 0 | -0.1 | -0.02 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | - | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.38 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1884 | 1903 | 1890 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.7 | -3.7 | 1 | 3.70 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | - | 0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 12.6 | -8.8 | -2 | 3.97 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205 | 211.5 | 215 | 212.67 | High |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.93 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.93 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.029 | 5.594 | -0.2 | -0.54 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 3.391 | -3.831 | -2.2 | 0.36 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 8.977 | 7.702 | 4 | 5.57 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | - | 47.9 | 47.4 | 47.37 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.35 | 4.14 | 4.21 | 4.17 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | 5.1 | 0.7 | -1.6 | -1.18 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.02 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | - | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Current Account | -226.4 | -249.2 | -238.4 | -232.40 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.48 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3 | 3.10 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 5.27 | -2.8 | -2 | 2.71 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -145 | -173 | -150 | -150.00 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -145 | -173 | -144.5 | -144.72 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 800 | 710 | 710.00 | High |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 0.8 | 0.69 | 0.69 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.68 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 324.05 | 324.12 | 323.8 | 323.85 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 326.03 | 325.031 | 325.7 | 325.87 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.411 | 1.415 | 1.412 | 1.54 | Low |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.5 | 99 | 99.5 | 99.38 | Low |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 13.28 | 1.55 | 13.1 | 13.11 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.68 | 2.13 | 1.65 | 1.65 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 3.29 | 0.32 | 3.28 | 3.28 | Low |