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Philly Fed Business Conditions (United States) was reported at 3.9 in August 2023. The reading missed the market consensus of 31.6 by 27.7, coming in below expectations. This represents a decline from the previous value of 29.1. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD) and positively correlated with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 52.3 | 54 | 54.25 | Low | |
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 54.1 | 53.5 | 53.2 | 55.73 | Low | |
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 84.6 | 78.3 | 80 | 80.92 | Low | |
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 46.4 | 48.7 | 49 | 49.17 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.7 | 52.7 | 53 | 54.02 | High | |
| 15:30 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.67 | Medium | |
| Monday, May 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Factory Orders ex Transportation | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Factory Orders MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, May 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits | 1.386 | 1.35 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Exports | 314.8 | 319.1 | 319.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Imports | 372.1 | 380.5 | 380.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Balance of Trade | -57.3 | -59 | -59.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | -17.6 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Employment | 45.2 | 45 | 45.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services New Orders | 60.6 | 60 | 60.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services PMI | 54 | 53.8 | 53.80 | High | ||
| 14:00 | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.882 | 6.87 | 6.87 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Prices | 70.7 | 71 | 71.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Business Activity | 53.9 | 53.5 | 53.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | JOLTs Job Quits | 2.974 | 2.95 | 2.95 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54 | 54 | 54.15 | High | ||
| 14:10 | Economic Optimism Index | 42.8 | 42 | 42.00 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | ADP Employment Change | 62 | 79 | 72.50 | Medium | ||