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Balance of Trade fell to 31.87 in March 2026, down 3.99 from February's 35.86 reading. The reading missed the 40 consensus by 8.13. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 20.94. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged 23.14, vs 26.64 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 35.86. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Unemployed Persons | 8.137 | 7.836 | 8.2 | 8.17 | Low | |
| 09:00 | Unemployment Rate | 32.7 | 31.4 | 32.3 | 32.50 | Medium | |
| 09:30 | Unemployment Rate | 32.7 | 31.4 | 32.3 | 32.50 | Medium | |
| 10:30 | Unemployed Persons | 8.137 | 7.836 | 8.2 | 8.17 | Low | |
| 11:00 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 0.9 | -2.3 | -1 | -0.68 | Low | |
| 11:00 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.8 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -1.10 | Low | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | Unemployed Persons | 7.836 | 8.2 | 8.17 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | Mining Production YoY | 9.7 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Low | ||