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Business Confidence climbed to 47 in January 2026, up 3 from December's 44 reading. The print exceeded the 35 consensus by 12. Business Confidence has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Business Confidence averaged 130.18, vs 95.03 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 37th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The March 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 44. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR) and positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
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| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:30 | Unemployment Rate | 31.4 | 32.3 | 32.30 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | Manufacturing Production YoY | -2.8 | -1 | -1.30 | Low | ||
| 11:00 | Manufacturing Production MoM | -2.2 | -1.8 | -1.70 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | Unemployed Persons | 7.836 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | Mining Production YoY | 9.7 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 09:30 | Gold Production YoY | 12.8 | 9.5 | 12.30 | Low | ||
| 09:30 | Mining Production MoM | 2.3 | -0.8 | -0.80 | Low | ||