Loading page content
Loading page content
South Africa GDP growth (annual %) fell to 0.6 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 1.31 Percentage (%) from December's 1.91 Percentage (%) reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish ZAR | → View |
| EUR/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish ZAR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
South Africa GDP Growth Rate (South Africa) was reported at 1.90 Percent in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.80 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 1.60 Percent, up from the prior three at 0.60 Percent. In June readings over the past 3 years, South Africa GDP Growth Rate has averaged 0.63 Percent.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/ZAR (Bullish ZAR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
South Africa's GDP Growth Rate for June 2026 surged to 1.900000 percent, up from March's 0.800000 percent, marking a strong acceleration in economic activity. This increase reverses the modest growth trend seen in the previous quarters, indicating a significant expansion. Market participants will watch upcoming data closely as the central bank maintains its current monetary stance. Updated 6/11/26
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1.9 Percent. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.8 Percent. Before that (Dec 2025): 2.1 Percent.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/ZAR (Bullish ZAR, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.6 | 4.3 | 4.15 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.90 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 2 | 2.15 | Medium | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4 | 4.7 | 4.65 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 11:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | -1 | -0.35 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | Building Permits YoY | 16.9 | 15 | 21.45 | Low | ||