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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BWBW Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to -5.4% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
BW Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to -5.4% in March 2026, down 13.6% from February's 8.2% reading.
Latest Release
-5.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
8.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Botswana) was reported at -5.4% in March 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 8.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - BW
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — BW
DEFINITION
Botswana’s Gross Domestic Product YoY contracted sharply to -5.400000% in March 2026, reversing February’s 8.200000% growth. This marks the lowest reading since early 2024, driven by declines in mining, wholesale, retail trade, and construction sectors. Market sentiment turned risk-off, with local equities and the pula under pressure amid heightened economic volatility. Updated 4/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual -5.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2025): -5.3 %. Before that (Apr 2025): -5.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.