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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwitzerlandSwitzerland GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 0.3% in January 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased June 2026
Switzerland GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 0.3% in January 2026, released June 2026, down 0.8% from December's 1.1% reading. The reading missed the 1.0% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.06%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 57 months.
Latest Release
0.3
Actual
1
Consensus
1.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1
Actual: 0.3
Error: +0.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| CHF/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Switzerland) was reported at 0.3% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1% by 0.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.63%, down from the prior three at 1.57%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish CHF). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/CHF, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI MoM (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - CH
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Switzerland
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.3 %, consensus 1 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 0.8 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish CHF, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CH Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CH | KOF Leading Indicators | 103.5 | 102.1 | 101 | 102.25 | Medium |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | CH | Retail Sales MoM | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.75 | Low |
| 06:30 | CH | Retail Sales YoY | 1.5 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 2.65 | Medium |