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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwitzerlandSwitzerland Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.2% in April 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2025
Switzerland Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.2% in April 2025, released August 2025, down 0.6% from March's 1.8% reading. The reading missed the 1.4% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.75%. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
1.2
Actual
1.4
Consensus
1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.45 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Aug 2025
Predicted: 1.65
Actual: 1.2
Error: +0.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish CHF | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| CHF/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish CHF | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| GBP/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bullish CHF | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Switzerland) was reported at 0.5% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.57%, down from the prior three at 1.57%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish CHF). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/CHF, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Jun 18) and SNB Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - CH
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Switzerland
DEFINITION
Switzerland's Gross Domestic Product YoY came in at 0.50% for May, down from February's 0.70%, signaling a slowdown in economic growth. The reading marks a continued deceleration from November's 0.50% and remains well below earlier 2025 levels above 1%. Market focus will remain on upcoming policy moves as growth momentum weakens. Updated 6/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.5 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 0.7 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 0.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish CHF, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.