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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwitzerlandSwitzerland Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.2% in April 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2025
Switzerland Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.2% in April 2025, released August 2025, down 0.6% from March's 1.8% reading. The reading missed the 1.4% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.75%. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
1.2
Actual
1.4
Consensus
1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.45 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Aug 2025
Predicted: 1.65
Actual: 1.2
Error: +0.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| CHF/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Switzerland) was reported at 2.8% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.33%, up from the prior three at 1.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish CHF). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/CHF, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 17) and SECO Economic Forecasts (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - CH
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Switzerland
DEFINITION
Switzerland's Gross Domestic Product YoY surged to 2.800000% in August 2026, sharply up from July's 0.500000%, signaling robust economic expansion. This marks a significant acceleration after several months of subdued growth near 0.5-0.7%. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases to assess if this momentum sustains amid central bank policy considerations. Updated 9/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.8 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 0.5 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 0.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish CHF, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CH Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | CH | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.7 | -2.1 | -1.3 | -1.00 | Low |
| 06:30 | CH | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | CH | Balance of Trade | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7.50 | Medium | |