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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Current account balance (% of GDP) held to 6.25 Percentage of GDP in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Germany Current account balance (% of GDP) held to 6.25 Percentage of GDP in January 2023.
Latest Release
6.25
Latest (2023)
6.25
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) (Germany) was reported at 4.51 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.89 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.30 Percent, down from the prior three at 5.71 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Current Account Balance (% of GDP) has averaged 5.30 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DE). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Current account balance (% of GDP) - DE
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About Current account balance (% of GDP) — Germany
DEFINITION
Germany's Current Account Balance (% of GDP) for 2025 registered at 4.505856, down from 5.893809 in 2024, marking a notable contraction in surplus. The decline from 5.89% to 4.51% signals a weakening external position compared to the previous year. Market participants will watch for upcoming trade data to assess if this trend persists amid evolving global conditions. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DE, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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