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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany GDP growth (annual %) fell to -0.3 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Germany GDP growth (annual %) fell to -0.3 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 2.11 Percentage (%) from December's 1.81 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
-0.30
Latest (2023)
1.81
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth (Annual %) (Germany) was reported at 0.24 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.50 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.38 Percent, down from the prior three at 0.53 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged -0.38 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DE). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP growth (annual %) - DE
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About GDP growth (annual %) — Germany
DEFINITION
Germany's GDP Growth (Annual %) for 2025 came in at 0.239578%, reversing from a contraction of -0.495852% in 2024 and signaling a return to modest expansion. This marks a clear improvement from the previous year's decline, reflecting a stabilizing economic environment. Market focus now shifts to upcoming data releases and the European Central Bank's policy stance amid this gradual recovery. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DE, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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