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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LebanonLebanon BLOM Lebanon PMI fell to 50.5 in February 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2025
Lebanon BLOM Lebanon PMI fell to 50.5 in February 2025, released March 2025, down 0.1 from January's 50.6 reading. The reading matched the 50.9 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 1.4. The reading is in the 90th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
50.5
Actual
50.9
Consensus
50.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.9
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2025
Predicted: 51.9
Actual: 50.5
Error: +1.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
BLOM Lebanon PMI (Lebanon) was reported at 50.50 in March 2025. This missed the market consensus of 50.90 by 0.40. The reading fell from the previous value of 50.60.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 48.70, up from the prior three at 47.73.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.90.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2025.
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BLOM Lebanon PMI - LB
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About BLOM Lebanon PMI — Lebanon
DEFINITION
BLOM Lebanon PMI is a leading economic indicator that measures the performance of the Lebanese private sector. It provides valuable insights into the country's economic health by tracking changes in business activity, new orders, employment, and prices. This index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers from various industries, making it a reliable and timely source of information for investors, businesses, and policymakers. With its comprehensive and accurate data, BLOM Lebanon PMI is an essential tool for understanding the current and future state of the Lebanese economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2025): actual 50.5, consensus 50.9. Prior reading (Jan 2025): 50.6. Before that (Oct 2024): 45.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.