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Oman Total Credit YoY climbed to 4.8% in December 2024, released March 2025, up 2.8% from November's 2.0% reading. The print exceeded the 1.5% consensus by 3.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.73%. Over the past 3 months, Total Credit YoY averaged 2.35%, vs 2.17% in the prior 3-month window. Total Credit YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
across last 6 releases
Dec 2024
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Total Credit YoY (Oman) was reported at 12.5% in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 12.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.66%, ranging from 7.2% to 12.7% across 7 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 12.03%, up from the prior three at 8.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.18%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 2.2%).
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.51%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
Total Credit YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total amount of credit extended by financial institutions over a 12-month period. It provides insight into the overall growth or contraction of credit in an economy, which can impact consumer spending, business investment, and overall economic activity. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it can signal potential shifts in the financial landscape.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 12.5 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 12.7 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 10.9 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.77) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:20 | Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.25 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low | |