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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SomaliaSomalia Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 5.57% in December 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2025
Somalia Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 5.57% in December 2024, released January 2025, up 0.37% from November's 5.2% reading. The reading matched expectations. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 1.02%. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate YoY averaged 5.48%, vs 5.73% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 47th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
5.57
Actual
5.4
Consensus
5.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.35 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jan 2025
Predicted: 5.31
Actual: 5.57
Error: -0.26
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate YoY (Somalia) was reported at 5.57% in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 5.4% by 0.17%. The reading rose from the previous value of 5.2%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.53%, down from the prior three at 5.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.35%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2025.
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Inflation Rate YoY - SO
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About Inflation Rate YoY — Somalia
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services over a 12-month period. It is a key measure of inflation and is used by economists and policymakers to monitor the health of an economy and make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. A higher inflation rate can indicate a growing economy, but if it rises too quickly, it can lead to negative effects such as decreased purchasing power and higher interest rates. Conversely, a lower inflation rate can signal a slowing economy, but if it falls too low, it can lead to deflation and potential economic instability. The Inflation Rate YoY is an important tool for understanding and managing the impact of price changes on the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Dec 2024): actual 5.57 %, consensus 5.4 %. Prior reading (Dec 2024): 5.57 %. Before that (Nov 2024): 5.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.