Loading page content
Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey GDP growth (annual %) fell to 4.52 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Turkey GDP growth (annual %) fell to 4.52 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 1.01 Percentage (%) from December's 5.53 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
4.52
Latest (2023)
5.53
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TRY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/TRY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth (Annual %) (Turkey) was reported at 3.60 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.33 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.99 Percent, down from the prior three at 6.35 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged 3.99 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/TRY (Bullish TRY). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/TRY, negatively correlated (Bullish TRY).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Aug 21) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
SHARE
GDP growth (annual %) - TR
Loading chart data...
About GDP growth (annual %) — Turkey
DEFINITION
Turkey's GDP Growth (Annual %) rose to 3.604625% in 2025, up from 3.327623% in 2024, marking a modest acceleration in economic expansion. The increase from 2024's 3.33% to 2025's 3.60% reflects steady growth momentum after a slowdown from previous years. Market participants will watch upcoming data for signs of sustained recovery amid ongoing economic challenges. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/TRY (Bullish TRY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | TR | Central Government Debt | 14.992 | 15.2 | 15.20 | Low | |
| Friday, August 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | TR | Business Confidence | 102.2 | 102.5 | 103.75 | Medium | |
| 07:00 | TR | Capacity Utilization | 73.9 | 74 | 74.05 | Low | |
| 07:00 | TR | Consumer Confidence | 89.8 | 90 | 90.00 | Medium | |
| 08:00 | TR | Tourist Arrivals YoY | -4.02 | -5 | -11.22 | Low | |