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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range ± 0.1–0.2% · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Last Updated: 6/15/26
recent path character per horizon · descriptive, not a forecast
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Industrial Production MoM (r=+0.64), Current Account (r=+0.52)
Inversely correlated: Trade Balance (r=-0.71), CPI MoM (r=-0.50), CPI YoY (r=-0.50), Foreign Exchange Reserves (r=-0.50), GDP Growth Rate QoQ (r=-0.50), GDP Growth Rate YoY (r=-0.50)
As of June 17, 2026, USD/TRY is trading at 46.3027. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
recently trended up · ER 0.95 · trailing 14d · descriptive, not a forecast
Cone = how far price could move from HERE — not a corridor; direction not predicted.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The USD/TRY forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Turkish Lira. The USD/TRY pair closed at 46.3027 on June 16, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.05% from the previous close of 46.2793.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 1.63%, ranging between 45.3930 and 46.3311. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 46.0630. The 14-day RSI stands at 90.1, in overbought territory, suggesting potential reversal pressure. Among macroeconomic indicators in our coverage, Trade Balance shows the strongest historical relationship with this instrument, negatively correlated (r = -0.71) aligned with a bearish bias.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.10%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 41.2130 and 46.3311, with the current price near the high end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 0.10% is subdued for this pair, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. USD/TRY is currently trading 0.52% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 90.1, currently in overbought territory. For cross-confirmation, the Trade Balance indicator carries the strongest historical correlation with USD/TRY (r = -0.71) and is worth watching for context.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Jun 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.