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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 0.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Azerbaijan Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 0.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.8% from May's 0.0% reading. The reading missed the 1.8% consensus by 1.0%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.95%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged -0.03%, vs 1.13% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 37th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
1.8
Consensus
0
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.38 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 1.63
Actual: 0.8
Error: +0.82
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Azerbaijan) was reported at 0.8% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.8% by 1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.02%, ranging from 0% to 1.7% across 14 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.33%, down from the prior three at 1.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.52%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.71%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.38%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - AZ
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Azerbaijan
DEFINITION
Azerbaijan's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 0.80% in June, missing the 1.80% estimate and improving from May's 0.00%. The economy showed modest growth after a flat reading the previous month, indicating a slow recovery phase. Market participants will watch upcoming data for clearer signals on the central bank's policy direction. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.8 %, consensus 1.8 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0 %. Before that (May 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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