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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BelgiumBelgium Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY fell to 3.3% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Belgium Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY fell to 3.3% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.7% from May's 4.0% reading. The print came in hotter than the 3.0% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 3.94%.
Latest Release
3.3
Actual
3
Consensus
4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.52 percentage points
across last 5 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 2.78
Actual: 3.3
Error: -0.52
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Belgium) was reported at 3.3% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3% by 0.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 4%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY - BE
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About Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY — Belgium
DEFINITION
The Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY is a key financial indicator that measures the annual change in the overall price level of goods and services in a country. It takes into account the impact of price changes on both domestic and international markets, providing a more comprehensive view of inflation. This indicator is widely used by policymakers and investors to assess the health of an economy and make informed decisions regarding monetary policy and investment strategies. A higher Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY indicates a rise in prices, while a lower rate suggests a decrease in inflation.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.3 %, consensus 3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 3 %. Before that (May 2026): 4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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