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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BelgiumBelgium New Car Sales YoY fell to 1.9% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Belgium New Car Sales YoY fell to 1.9% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 6.4% from August's 8.3% reading. The reading missed the 6.2% consensus by 4.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.58%. Over the past 3 months, New Car Sales YoY averaged 0.93%, vs -1.05% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
1.9
Actual
6.2
Consensus
8.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±8.75 percentage points
across last 5 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 4.68
Actual: 1.9
Error: +2.78
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales YoY (Belgium) was reported at 1.9% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 6.2% by 4.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 8.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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New Car Sales YoY - BE
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About New Car Sales YoY — Belgium
DEFINITION
New Car Sales YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the number of new cars sold by a particular company or industry. This metric is used to assess the overall health and growth of the automotive market, as well as the performance of individual companies within the industry. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in new car sales, while a negative change suggests a decline. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it provides valuable insights into consumer spending and economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1.9 %, consensus 6.2 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 1.9 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 8.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BE Events
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | BE | New Car Sales YoY | 1.9 | 3.6 | -1.35 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | BE | New Car Sales YoY | 1.9 | 3.6 | -1.35 | Low | |