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GDP YoY climbed to 4.0 in December 2024, up 0.1 from November's 3.9 reading. The print exceeded the 3.8 consensus by 0.2. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 4.31. Over the past 3 months, GDP YoY averaged 4.05, vs 4.97 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 47th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The January 2025 reading rose from the previous value of 3.9. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Watch).
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| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.40 | Low | |