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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of non-overlapping windows the 60% band held (per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no rows yet) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 0.78% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Coherent near-term trend; possible regime shift if 1W turns.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
CHF/JPY's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±0.6% over 7 days, widening to ±1.1% over 28.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · 79% over 81 windows → full record
Across 81 graded 14-day windows since 27 Jul 2026, CHF/JPY's expected-range band contained price 79% of the time (stated rate: 80%).
As of October 30, 2026, CHF/JPY is trading at 191.2954. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The CHF/JPY forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen. The CHF/JPY pair closed at 191.30 on October 30, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.28% from the previous close of 190.77.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 0.94%, ranging between 187.80 and 192.16. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 190.81. The 14-day RSI stands at 55.4, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum. Among macroeconomic indicators in our coverage, CPI MOM (CH) shows the strongest historical relationship with this instrument, negatively correlated (r = -0.70).
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.24%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Over the past 52 weeks, CHF/JPY traded between 186.73 (Sep 14, 2026) and 204.43 (Apr 22, 2026); the current price sits 6.4% below the 52-week high.
Daily-return volatility of 0.24% is subdued for this pair, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. CHF/JPY is currently trading 0.26% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 55.4, currently in neutral territory. For cross-confirmation, the CPI MoM (CH) indicator carries the strongest historical correlation with CHF/JPY (r = -0.70) and is worth watching for context.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: CPI (CH) (r=+0.63), M3 Money Supply (CH) (r=+0.51), Bond Auction (CH) (r=+0.40), Central Government Debt (% of GDP) (CH) (r=+0.40)
Inversely correlated: CPI MoM (CH) (r=-0.70), Trade Balance (CH) (r=-0.58), Inflation Rate YoY (CH) (r=-0.53), Gross Domestic Product QoQ (CH) (r=-0.41)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Oct 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.