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GDP YoY fell to 6.7 in December 2024, down 0.8 from November's 7.5 reading. The print exceeded the 6.2 consensus by 0.5. GDP YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, GDP YoY averaged 9.25, vs 11.1 in the prior 3-month window. GDP YoY is now the lowest in 9 months.
The January 2025 reading fell from the previous value of 7.5. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Watch).
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| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 5.9 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 5.33 | Low | |