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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GeorgiaGeorgia Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 6.0% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Georgia Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 6.0% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.3% from August's 6.3% reading. The reading matched the 6.0% consensus. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 7.15%, vs 7.07% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the lowest in 20 months.
Latest Release
6
Actual
6
Consensus
6.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 5.25
Actual: 6
Error: -0.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Georgia) was reported at 6% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 6% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.15%, ranging from 6% to 8.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 6.77%, down from the prior three at 7.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.47%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - GE
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Georgia
DEFINITION
Georgia's Gross Domestic Product YoY for September registered at 6.000000%, matching estimates but down from August's 6.300000%. This marks a continued slowdown in annual growth, reflecting easing momentum after previous months of stronger expansion. Market focus now shifts to upcoming data releases and central bank signals amid this moderation. Updated 10/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 6 %, consensus 6 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 6.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - GE Events
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | GE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 07:00 | GE | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.6 | 5.7 | 5.45 | Low | |