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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GeorgiaGeorgia Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 6.2% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Georgia Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 6.2% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 4.5% from March's 10.7% reading. The reading missed the 8.5% consensus by 2.3%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 7.38%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 9.75%, vs 7.43% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 9th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.2
Actual
8.5
Consensus
10.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 9.9
Actual: 6.2
Error: +3.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Georgia) was reported at 6.2% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 8.5% by 2.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 10.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.96%, ranging from 6% to 8.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.63%, up from the prior three at 6.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - GE
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Georgia
DEFINITION
Georgia's Gross Domestic Product YoY for May came in at 6.200000%, missing the 8.500000% estimate and down sharply from April's 10.700000%. This marks a significant deceleration in annual growth compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming data closely as the central bank maintains its current monetary stance. Updated 5/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 6.2 %, consensus 8.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 10.7 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 8.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.53) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.