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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GeorgiaGeorgia Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 6.3% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Georgia Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 6.3% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 1.7% from July's 8.0% reading. The reading missed the 7.8% consensus by 1.5%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 8.3%, vs 7.77% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 15th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.3
Actual
7.8
Consensus
8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.35 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 9.1
Actual: 6.3
Error: +2.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Georgia) was reported at 6.3% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 7.8% by 1.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.18%, ranging from 6% to 8.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 7.63%, up from the prior three at 7.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.96%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.5%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.35%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - GE
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Georgia
DEFINITION
Georgia's Gross Domestic Product YoY for September registered 6.300000%, missing the 7.800000% estimate and down from August's 8.000000%. This marks a continued slowdown in annual growth, reflecting a deceleration from the prior month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for signs of stabilization amid this easing trend. Updated 9/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 6.3 %, consensus 7.8 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 8 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 8.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - GE Events
| Monday, October 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | GE | Balance of Trade | -809.9 | -1150 | -1002.25 | Low | |