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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
JapanJapan Current account balance (% of GDP) held to 3.58 Percentage of GDP in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Japan Current account balance (% of GDP) held to 3.58 Percentage of GDP in January 2023.
Latest Release
3.58
Latest (2023)
3.58
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) (Japan) was reported at 4.86 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.62 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.37 Percent, up from the prior three at 2.99 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Current Account Balance (% of GDP) has averaged 4.37 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bullish JPY).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Current account balance (% of GDP) - JP
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About Current account balance (% of GDP) — Japan
DEFINITION
Japan's Current Account Balance (% of GDP) rose to 4.864961 in December 2025, up from 4.622024 in December 2024, marking a continued surplus expansion. This increase signals strengthening external balances compared to the prior year. Market focus remains on how sustained surpluses will influence the Bank of Japan's monetary policy stance. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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