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Primary economy: Japan economic indicators
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of non-overlapping windows the 60% band held (per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no rows yet) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 4.76% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Timeframes diverge — no single coherent trend.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
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Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · 76.6% over 77 windows → full record
Across 77 graded 14-day windows since 11 Jun 2026, ^N225's expected-range band contained price 76.6% of the time (stated rate: 80%).
As of October 30, 2026, ^N225 is trading at 63290.11. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this index generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The Nikkei 225 (^N225) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^N225 index closed at 63,290.11 on October 30, 2026, reflecting a decline of 2.12% from the previous close of 64,659.47.
Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a sideways movement with a decline of 0.31%, ranging between 61,462.61 and 70,793.29. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 65,970.50. The 14-day RSI stands at 41.8, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.66%, reflecting typical price variability for this index. Over the past 52 weeks, ^N225 traded between 48,235.30 (Nov 19, 2025) and 72,831.73 (Jun 22, 2026); the current price sits 13.1% below the 52-week high.
Daily-return volatility of 1.66% runs elevated for this index, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ^N225 is currently trading 4.06% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 41.8, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Adjusted Trade Balance (JP) (r=+0.86), Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI (JP) (r=+0.82), Consumer Confidence (TW) (r=+0.79), Inflation Rate MoM (PH) (r=+0.74), Inflation Rate YoY (PH) (r=+0.69)
Inversely correlated: Overtime Pay YoY (JP) (r=-0.75), Industrial Production YoY (TW) (r=-0.74), Industrial Profits YoY (CN) (r=-0.72)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Oct 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.