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Japan GDP (current US$) fell to 4,212,945,159,781.4 USD Billions in January 2023, down 43,465,600,942.4 USD Billions from December's 4,256,410,760,723.8 USD Billions reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish JP | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP (Current US$) (Japan) was reported at 4,027,597,523,550.58 USD in December 2024. The reading fell from the previous value of 4,213,167,237,905.83 USD. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4,167,742,693,084.31 USD, down from the prior three at 5,070,403,342,418.00 USD.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bullish JPY).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Housing Starts YoY (May 28) and Unemployment Rate (May 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | Leading Index MoM | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.70 | Low | ||
| 05:00 | Coincident Indicator MoM | -1.8 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Housing Starts YoY | -29.3 | 15.5 | 15.50 | Medium | ||
| 05:00 | Construction Orders YoY | -14.4 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Jobs/applications ratio | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Core CPI YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Unemployment Rate | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | ||
| 23:30 | CPI YoY | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Industrial Production YoY | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Industrial Production MoM | -0.4 | -1 | -1.00 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.3 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, May 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Consumer Confidence | 32.2 | 32 | 32.00 | High | ||