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OM Budget Balance climbed to -5M in June 2026, released July 2026, up 20M from May's -25M reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Budget Balance (Oman) was reported at -5.00 million in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -25.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -275.71 million, ranging from -449.00 million to -5.00 million across 7 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -159.67 million, up from the prior three at -397.33 million.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
Budget Balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a government's total revenue and total expenditure over a specific period of time. It provides insight into the fiscal health of a country or organization, indicating whether there is a surplus or deficit in their budget. This indicator is crucial in determining the government's ability to meet its financial obligations and make strategic decisions for future spending. A positive budget balance indicates a healthy financial position, while a negative balance may signal potential financial challenges.
Fiscal and debt-supply data influence sovereign-yield term premia and currency expectations, particularly when supply pressures interact with policy normalization. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -5 M. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -25 M. Before that (Nov 2025): -449 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.63) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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