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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
OMOM Budget Balance fell to -17M in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
OM Budget Balance fell to -17M in August 2026, down 2M from July's -15M reading.
Latest Release
-17.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
-15.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Budget Balance (Oman) was reported at -17.00 million in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -15.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -212.88 million, ranging from -449.00 million to -5.00 million across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -12.33 million, up from the prior three at -303.00 million. In August readings over the past 3 years, Budget Balance has averaged -97.00 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Budget Balance - OM
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About Budget Balance — OM
DEFINITION
Budget Balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a government's total revenue and total expenditure over a specific period of time. It provides insight into the fiscal health of a country or organization, indicating whether there is a surplus or deficit in their budget. This indicator is crucial in determining the government's ability to meet its financial obligations and make strategic decisions for future spending. A positive budget balance indicates a healthy financial position, while a negative balance may signal potential financial challenges.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Fiscal and debt-supply data influence sovereign-yield term premia and currency expectations, particularly when supply pressures interact with policy normalization. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -17 M. Prior reading (May 2026): -15 M. Before that (May 2026): -15 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.72) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - OM Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:20 | OM | Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.25 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low |