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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
OMOM Budget Balance fell to -449M in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2026
OM Budget Balance fell to -449M in January 2026, released February 2026, down 14M from December's -435M reading.
Latest Release
-449.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
-435.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Budget Balance (Oman) was reported at -449.00 million in February 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -435.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -341.00 million, ranging from -449.00 million to -146.00 million across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -422.67 million, down from the prior three at -259.33 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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Budget Balance - OM
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About Budget Balance — OM
DEFINITION
Budget Balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a government's total revenue and total expenditure over a specific period of time. It provides insight into the fiscal health of a country or organization, indicating whether there is a surplus or deficit in their budget. This indicator is crucial in determining the government's ability to meet its financial obligations and make strategic decisions for future spending. A positive budget balance indicates a healthy financial position, while a negative balance may signal potential financial challenges.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Fiscal and debt-supply data influence sovereign-yield term premia and currency expectations, particularly when supply pressures interact with policy normalization. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2025): actual -449 M. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -435 M. Before that (Aug 2025): -384 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.73) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.