Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PakistanPakistan Consumer Confidence climbed to 38 in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2025
Pakistan Consumer Confidence climbed to 38 in January 2025, up 1.6 from December's 36.4 reading. The reading matched the 37 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 34.11. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 35.2, vs 31 in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
38
Actual
37
Consensus
36.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.45
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Jan 2025
Predicted: 36.78
Actual: 36.4
Error: +0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Pakistan) was reported at 40.30 in March 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 38.00.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 37.20, up from the prior three at 32.50.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.45.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2025.
SHARE
Consumer Confidence - PK
Loading chart data...
About Consumer Confidence — Pakistan
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2025): actual 40.3. Prior reading (Jan 2025): 38. Before that (Jan 2025): 36.4.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.