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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArmeniaArmenia Producer Price Index YoY fell to 8.6% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Armenia Producer Price Index YoY fell to 8.6% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.3% from August's 8.9% reading. The reading missed the 9.7% consensus by 1.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.88%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 8.7%, vs 8.57% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 71st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
8.6
Actual
9.7
Consensus
8.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.88 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 9.75
Actual: 8.6
Error: +1.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Armenia) was reported at 8.6% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 9.7% by 1.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 8.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.97%, ranging from 5.2% to 9.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 8.67%, up from the prior three at 8.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.31%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.48%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.88%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 25, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - AM
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Armenia
DEFINITION
Armenia's Producer Price Index YoY came in at 8.6% for October, missing the 9.7% estimate and down from September's 8.9%. This marks a continued deceleration in producer price inflation compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely amid this easing trend. Updated 10/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 8.6 %, consensus 9.7 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 8.9 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 8.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.52) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AM Events
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | AM | Interest Rate Decision | 6.75 | 6.75 | 6.75 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | AM | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.10 | Low | |