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AO's GDP Growth Rate YoY came in at 1.80%, missing the 3.00% estimate but improving from the previous 1.10%, signaling continued but modest economic expansion. The 0.70 percentage point increase suggests a slow recovery phase rather than robust growth. Market watchers may anticipate cautious policy adjustments to stimulate further acceleration. Updated 12/3/25
| Monday, December 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | - | 34.07 | 33 | 32.92 | Low |
| Friday, December 20, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | - | 34.07 | 33 | 32.92 | Low |
| Thursday, December 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | AO | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 2.9 | -0.05 | 0.4 | 0.89 | Low |
| 12:30 | AO | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 5.5 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 4.30 | Low |
| Monday, December 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.6 | 14.7 | 14.8 | 14.75 | Low |
| Thursday, December 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 28.41 | 29.17 | 29 | 29.25 | Low |
| 14:00 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.61 | 1.55 | 1.4 | 1.50 | Low |
| Tuesday, November 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | AO | Interest Rate Decision | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.50 | Low |
| Monday, November 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:50 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.7 | 14.9 | 15 | 14.95 | Low |
| Thursday, November 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 34.07 | 35.37 | 33 | 32.92 | Low |
| Wednesday, November 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:20 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.55 | 1.63 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Low |
| 01:20 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 29.17 | 29.93 | 27 | 27.25 | Low |
| Thursday, October 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 35.37 | 36.31 | 35.4 | 35.33 | Low |
| Thursday, October 24, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | - | 36.31 | 35.4 | 35.33 | Low |
| Friday, October 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | - | 36.31 | 35.4 | 35.33 | Low |
| Wednesday, October 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.9 | 14.8 | 14.7 | 14.65 | Low |
| Monday, October 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:20 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.63 | 1.61 | 1.5 | 1.60 | Low |
| 05:20 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 29.93 | 30.53 | 30 | 30.25 | Low |
| Wednesday, October 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:45 | AO | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.05 | 2.1 | 1 | 1.49 | Low |
| 00:45 | AO | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.1 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 5.00 | Low |
| Thursday, September 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | AO | Interest Rate Decision | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.50 | Low |
| Monday, September 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.74 | 14.7 | 15 | 14.95 | Low |
| Friday, September 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 36.31 | 36.66 | 37.8 | 37.72 | Low |
| 00:25 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.61 | 1.68 | 1.9 | 2.00 | Low |
| 00:25 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 30.53 | 31.09 | 32.5 | 32.75 | Low |
| Monday, August 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.69 | 14.45 | 14.4 | 14.35 | Low |
| Wednesday, August 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 36.66 | 36.42 | 37.2 | 37.13 | Low |
| Tuesday, August 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:20 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 31.09 | 31 | 32 | 32.25 | Low |
| 00:20 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.68 | 2.07 | 2 | 2.10 | Low |
| Friday, July 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | AO | Interest Rate Decision | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.50 | Low |
| Wednesday, July 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.44 | 14.4 | 14.2 | 14.15 | Low |
| Monday, July 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:50 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 36.42 | 35.78 | 38 | 37.92 | Low |
| Friday, July 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.07 | 2.49 | 2.4 | 2.50 | Low |
| 12:00 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 31 | 30.16 | 32 | 32.25 | Low |
| Wednesday, July 3, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:30 | AO | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.6 | 2 | 1.7 | 2.50 | Low |
| 03:30 | AO | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.09 | Low |
| Monday, June 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.4 | 14.49 | 14.1 | 14.05 | Low |
| Thursday, June 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 35.78 | 34.57 | 37 | 36.92 | Low |
| 00:40 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 30.16 | 28.2 | 30 | 30.25 | Low |
| 00:40 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.49 | 2.61 | 2.5 | 2.60 | Low |
| Thursday, May 23, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 34.57 | 32.2 | 34 | 33.92 | Low |
| Friday, May 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:10 | AO | Interest Rate Decision | 19.5 | 19 | 19 | 19.00 | Low |
| 09:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.48 | 14.32 | 14.5 | 14.45 | Low |
| Monday, May 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:35 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.61 | 2.54 | 2.5 | 2.60 | Low |
| 12:35 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 28.2 | 26.09 | 27.8 | 28.05 | Low |
| Wednesday, April 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.32 | 14.17 | 14.3 | 14.25 | Low |
| Tuesday, April 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 32.2 | 29.94 | 32 | 31.93 | Low |
| Monday, April 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 26.09 | 24.07 | 25.7 | 25.95 | Low |
| 03:00 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.54 | 2.58 | 2.6 | 2.70 | Low |
| Tuesday, April 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:45 | AO | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.99 | Low |
| 12:45 | AO | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.90 | Low |
| Friday, March 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | AO | Interest Rate Decision | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18.00 | Low |
| 10:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.17 | 14.58 | 14.3 | 14.25 | Low |
| Wednesday, March 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.58 | 2.49 | 2.6 | 2.70 | Low |
| 05:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 29.94 | 27.69 | 29.6 | 29.53 | Low |
| 05:00 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 24.07 | 21.99 | 23 | 23.25 | Low |
| Monday, February 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 27.69 | 25.49 | 26.4 | 26.32 | Low |
| Friday, February 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.58 | 14.73 | 14 | 13.95 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 21.99 | 20.01 | 22 | 22.25 | Low |
| 15:00 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.49 | 2.42 | 2.6 | 2.70 | Low |
| Friday, January 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | AO | Interest Rate Decision | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18.00 | Low |
| 08:00 | AO | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 14.73 | 14.51 | 14.7 | 14.65 | Low |
| Friday, January 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | AO | Inflation Rate YoY | 20.01 | 18.19 | 19.4 | 19.65 | Low |
| 01:00 | AO | Wholesale Prices YoY | 25.49 | 23.44 | 25 | 24.93 | Low |
| 01:00 | AO | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.42 | 2.21 | 2.2 | 2.30 | Low |