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| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Action |
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Industrial Production MoM (Brazil) was reported at 0.90% in April 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.70% by 0.20%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.10%. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.29%, ranging from -1.20% to 1.80% across 11 releases. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish USD). This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
| Saturday, April 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, April 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.7 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.70 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.18 | Medium | |
| 08:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.59 | 0.25 | 0.2 | 0.44 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.900000 | 2.100000 | 0.700000 | 1.18 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.700000 | 0.200000 | -1.000000 | -0.70 | low | |
| 00:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.590000 | 0.250000 | 0.200000 | 0.44 | low | |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 47.3 | 48 | 48.35 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.000000 | 47.300000 | 48.000000 | 48.35 | low | |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | Net Payrolls | 255.32 | 112.33 | 270 | 263.00 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.47 | -4.33 | -4.1 | -4.08 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Nominal Budget Balance | -100.589 | 40.062 | -75 | -85.85 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Net Payrolls | 255.320000 | 112.330000 | 270.000000 | 263.00 | low | |
| 00:00 | Interest Rate | 9.130000 | 9.190000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.470000 | -4.330000 | -4.100000 | -4.08 | low | |
| 00:00 | Gross Debt to GDP | 79.200000 | 78.700000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Nominal Budget Balance | -100.589000 | 40.062000 | -75.000000 | -85.85 | low | |
| 00:00 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 79.200000 | 78.700000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Budget Balance | -100.589000 | 40.062000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Net Debt-to-GDP ratio | 65.500000 | 65.000000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Primary Budget Surplus | -16.388000 | 103.689000 | - | - | low | |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Bank Lending MoM | - | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.52 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Bank Lending MoM | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.52 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Current Account | - | -8.36 | -5.4 | -6.01 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.52 | -0.73 | 0.5 | 0.43 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Bank Lending MoM | 0.400000 | -0.200000 | 0.600000 | 0.52 | low | |
| 00:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.520000 | -0.730000 | 0.500000 | 0.43 | low | |
| Sunday, March 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, March 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.75 | Medium | |
| 11:30 | Foreign Direct Investment | 6.75 | 8.17 | 7.6 | 7.68 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Current Account | -5.61 | -8.36 | -5.4 | -6.01 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | - | -0.73 | 0.3 | 0.23 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 49.200000 | 49.300000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.800000 | 5.400000 | 5.700000 | 5.75 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Current Account | -5.610000 | -8.360000 | -5.400000 | -6.01 | low | |
| 00:00 | Foreign Direct Investment | 6.750000 | 8.170000 | 7.600000 | 7.68 | low | |
| Thursday, March 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.74 | 3.83 | Low | |
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.44 | 0.84 | 0.29 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 12:00 | CPI MoM | 0.44 | 0.84 | 0.29 | 0.36 | Low | |
| 12:00 | CPI YoY | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.74 | 3.82 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.440000 | 0.840000 | 0.290000 | 0.40 | low | |
| 00:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 3.900000 | 4.100000 | 3.740000 | 3.83 | low | |
| 00:00 | CPI YoY | 3.900000 | 4.100000 | 3.740000 | 3.82 | low | |
| 00:00 | CPI MoM | 0.440000 | 0.840000 | 0.290000 | 0.36 | low | |
| Wednesday, March 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | FGV Consumer Confidence | 88.1 | 86.1 | 83 | 84.38 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | FGV Consumer Confidence | 88.100000 | 86.100000 | 83.000000 | 84.38 | low | |
| Tuesday, March 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Tax Revenue | 222.120000 | 325.750000 | - | - | low | |
| Monday, March 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| Sunday, March 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, March 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, March 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 49.300000 | 51.000000 | - | - | medium | |
| Thursday, March 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Wednesday, March 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.75 | 15 | 14.5 | 14.58 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Business Confidence | 46.6 | 48.2 | 47.5 | 47.10 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.750000 | 15.000000 | 14.500000 | 14.58 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Business Confidence | 46.600000 | 48.200000 | 47.500000 | 47.10 | medium | |
| Tuesday, March 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | IGP-10 Inflation Index MoM | -0.200000 | -0.400000 | - | - | low | |
| Monday, March 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.8 | -0.2 | 0.85 | 0.87 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.800000 | -0.200000 | 0.850000 | 0.87 | low | |
| Sunday, March 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, March 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, March 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 51.000000 | 45.000000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazilian Service Sector Growth MoM | 0.300000 | -0.200000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Brazilian Service Sector Growth YoY | 3.300000 | 3.600000 | - | - | low | |
| Thursday, March 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.33 | 0.65 | 0.69 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.81 | 4.44 | 3.77 | 3.79 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | CPI | 3.81 | 4.44 | 3.77 | 3.79 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | CPI | 3.81 | 4.44 | 3.77 | 3.79 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.810000 | 4.440000 | 3.770000 | 3.79 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.700000 | 0.330000 | 0.650000 | 0.69 | medium | |
| 00:00 | CPI | 3.810000 | 4.440000 | 3.770000 | 3.79 | medium | |
| Wednesday, March 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.12 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.4 | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.03 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.400000 | -0.400000 | -0.100000 | -0.03 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.800000 | 2.400000 | 1.700000 | 2.12 | low | |
| 00:00 | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 52.240000 | 52.680000 | - | - | low | |
| Tuesday, March 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Monday, March 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Sunday, March 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, March 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, March 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | New Car Registrations MoM | 8.6 | -39 | 12 | 5.97 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Car Production MoM | 24.9 | -13.5 | -4 | 4.88 | Low | |
| 14:00 | New Car Sales MoM | 8.6 | -39 | 12 | 10.30 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 1.8 | -1.9 | -0.7 | -0.22 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.2 | -0.1 | -1 | -0.70 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 45.000000 | 36.700000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Car Production MoM | 24.900000 | -13.500000 | -4.000000 | 4.88 | low | |
| 00:00 | New Car Registrations MoM | 8.600000 | -39.000000 | 12.000000 | 5.97 | low | |
| 00:00 | New Car Sales MoM | 8.600000 | -39.000000 | 12.000000 | 10.30 | low | |
| 00:00 | Auto Sales MoM | 8.600000 | -39.000000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Auto Production MoM | 24.900000 | -13.500000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.200000 | -0.100000 | -1.000000 | -0.70 | low | |
| 00:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 1.800000 | -1.900000 | -0.700000 | -0.22 | medium | |
| 00:00 | IGP-DI Inflation MoM | -0.840000 | 0.200000 | - | - | low | |
| Thursday, March 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.4 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.400000 | 5.100000 | 5.300000 | 5.35 | medium | |
| Wednesday, March 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.3 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 50.15 | Low | |
| 13:00 | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.1 | 51.3 | 51.5 | 51.75 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.34 | 0.14 | 0.2 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.33 | -4.53 | -5.2 | -5.18 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.100000 | 51.300000 | 51.500000 | 51.75 | medium | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.300000 | 49.900000 | 50.100000 | 50.15 | low | |
| 00:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.330000 | -4.530000 | -5.200000 | -5.18 | low | |
| 00:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.340000 | 0.140000 | 0.200000 | 0.30 | low | |
| Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | Net Payrolls | 112.33 | -618.16 | 125 | 118.00 | Low | |
| 12:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.65 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Medium | |
| 08:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.25 | 0.21 | -0.4 | -0.16 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Net Payrolls | 112.330000 | -618.160000 | 125.000000 | 118.00 | low | |
| 00:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.800000 | 1.800000 | 1.500000 | 1.65 | medium | |
| 00:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.100000 | - | 0.400000 | 0.25 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.800000 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 | 1.80 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.10 | medium | |
| 00:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.250000 | 0.210000 | -0.400000 | -0.16 | low | |
| Monday, March 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.3 | 47 | 47.2 | 47.55 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.300000 | 47.000000 | 47.200000 | 47.55 | low | |
| Sunday, March 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, February 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, February 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Unemployment Rate | - | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | CPI | 0.84 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.62 | Low | |
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.1 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.99 | Low | |
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.84 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.61 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Budget Balance | 40.062 | -115.502 | 49.5 | NaN | Low | |
| 11:30 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 78.7 | 78.7 | 79 | NaN | Medium | |
| 11:30 | Nominal Budget Balance | 40.062 | -115.502 | 54 | 43.15 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Gross Debt to GDP | 78.7 | 78.7 | 78.5 | NaN | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 36.700000 | 34.700000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | CPI | 0.840000 | 0.200000 | 0.600000 | 0.62 | low | |
| 00:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.840000 | 0.200000 | 0.500000 | 0.61 | low | |
| 00:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.100000 | 4.500000 | 3.900000 | 3.99 | low | |
| 00:00 | Net Debt-to-GDP ratio | 65.000000 | 65.300000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 78.700000 | 78.700000 | 79.000000 | NaN | medium | |
| 00:00 | Primary Budget Surplus | 103.689000 | 6.251000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Budget Balance | 40.062000 | -115.502000 | 49.500000 | NaN | low | |
| 00:00 | Gross Debt to GDP | 78.700000 | 78.700000 | 78.500000 | NaN | low | |
| 00:00 | Nominal Budget Balance | 40.062000 | -115.502000 | 54.000000 | 43.15 | low | |
| Thursday, February 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | -0.73 | 0.41 | -0.3 | -0.36 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | -0.730000 | 0.410000 | -0.300000 | -0.36 | low | |
| Wednesday, February 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | Bank Lending MoM | -0.2 | 1.8 | -0.1 | -0.18 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Bank Lending MoM | -0.200000 | 1.800000 | -0.100000 | -0.18 | low | |
| Tuesday, February 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | Current Account | -8.36 | -3.36 | -5.1 | -5.71 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Foreign Direct Investment | 8.17 | -5.25 | 6 | 6.08 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Foreign Direct Investment | 8.170000 | -5.250000 | 6.000000 | 6.08 | low | |
| 00:00 | Current Account | -8.360000 | -3.360000 | -5.100000 | -5.71 | low | |
| 00:00 | Tax Revenue | 325.750000 | 292.720000 | - | - | low | |
| Monday, February 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | FGV Consumer Confidence | 86.1 | 87.3 | 88 | 89.38 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | FGV Consumer Confidence | 86.100000 | 87.300000 | 88.000000 | 89.38 | low | |
| Sunday, February 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, February 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, February 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 34.700000 | 31.600000 | - | - | medium | |
| Thursday, February 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | Business Confidence | - | 48.5 | 48.8 | 48.40 | Medium | |
| 16:25 | Business Confidence | 48.2 | 48.5 | 48.8 | 48.40 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.2 | 0.7 | -0.4 | -0.38 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Business Confidence | 48.200000 | 48.500000 | 48.800000 | 48.40 | medium | |
| 00:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.200000 | 0.700000 | -0.400000 | -0.38 | low | |
| Wednesday, February 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Tuesday, February 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Monday, February 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Sunday, February 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, February 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, February 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 2.42 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.27 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 31.600000 | 31.000000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.400000 | 1.000000 | 0.200000 | 0.27 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.300000 | 1.500000 | 2.000000 | 2.42 | low | |
| 00:00 | IGP-10 Inflation Index MoM | -0.400000 | 0.300000 | - | - | low | |
| Thursday, February 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Brazilian Service Sector Growth MoM | -0.400000 | 0.000000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Brazilian Service Sector Growth YoY | 3.400000 | 2.700000 | - | - | low | |
| Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.53 | -3.38 | -4 | -3.98 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.12 | -0.35 | -0.2 | -0.10 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 52.680000 | 55.140000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.120000 | -0.350000 | -0.200000 | -0.10 | low | |
| 00:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.530000 | -3.380000 | -4.000000 | -3.98 | low | |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | Car Production MoM | - | -15.8 | -9 | -0.12 | Low | |
| 13:00 | New Car Registrations MoM | - | 17.1 | -9.6 | -15.63 | Low | |
| 12:00 | CPI | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.34 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.44 | 4.26 | 4.4 | 4.42 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.2 | 0.24 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.330000 | 0.330000 | 0.200000 | 0.24 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.440000 | 4.260000 | 4.400000 | 4.42 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM | 0.330000 | 0.260000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | CPI | 0.330000 | 0.330000 | 0.320000 | 0.34 | low | |
| Monday, February 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Sunday, February 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, February 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | New Car Registrations MoM | -39 | 17.1 | -9.6 | -15.63 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Car Production MoM | -13.5 | -15.8 | -9 | -0.12 | Low | |
| 13:00 | New Car Registrations MoM | - | 17.1 | -9.6 | -15.63 | Low | |
| 13:00 | Car Production MoM | - | -15.8 | -9 | -0.12 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 31.000000 | 18.800000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Car Production MoM | -13.500000 | -15.800000 | -9.000000 | -0.12 | low | |
| 00:00 | New Car Registrations MoM | -39.000000 | 17.100000 | -9.600000 | -15.63 | low | |
| 00:00 | Auto Production MoM | -13.500000 | -15.800000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Auto Sales MoM | -39.000000 | 17.100000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | IGP-DI Inflation MoM | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | - | - | low | |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:05 | Balance of Trade | 4.34 | 9.63 | 5.9 | 5.12 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Balance of Trade | 4.34 | 9.63 | 5.9 | 5.12 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Balance of Trade | 4.340000 | 9.630000 | 5.900000 | 5.12 | medium | |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.9 | 52.1 | 52 | 52.05 | Low | |
| 13:00 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 53.7 | 53 | 53.25 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.300000 | 53.700000 | 53.000000 | 53.25 | medium | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.900000 | 52.100000 | 52.000000 | 52.05 | low | |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Industrial Production MoM | -1.2 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.18 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.4 | -1.4 | -1.5 | -1.20 | Low | |
| 08:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.3 | 0.54 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.400000 | -1.400000 | -1.500000 | -1.20 | low | |
| 00:00 | Industrial Production MoM | -1.200000 | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | 0.18 | medium | |
| 00:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.210000 | 0.320000 | 0.300000 | 0.54 | low | |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47 | 47.6 | 47.8 | 48.15 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.000000 | 47.600000 | 47.800000 | 48.15 | low | |
| Sunday, February 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Trade Balance | 3507.500000 | 2990.700000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Unemployment Rate | 5.800000 | 5.400000 | - | - | high | |
| 00:00 | Brazil IPCA Inflation 12-Month | 3.810000 | 4.440000 | - | - | high | |
| 00:00 | Brazil GDP Growth Rate | 1042272.600000 | 1023703.200000 | - | - | high | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly | 0.700000 | 0.330000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, January 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.25 | Medium | |
| 11:30 | Gross Debt to GDP | 78.7 | 79 | 79.2 | NaN | Low | |
| 11:30 | Budget Balance | -115.502 | -101.6 | -95.4 | NaN | Low | |
| 11:30 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 78.7 | 79 | 79.5 | NaN | Medium | |
| 11:30 | Nominal Budget Balance | -115.502 | -101.6 | -82 | -92.85 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.41 | -0.01 | 0.1 | 0.04 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 18.800000 | 17.600000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.100000 | 5.200000 | 5.200000 | 5.25 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Gross Debt to GDP | 78.700000 | 79.000000 | 79.200000 | NaN | low | |
| 00:00 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 78.700000 | 79.000000 | 79.500000 | NaN | medium | |
| 00:00 | Budget Balance | -115.502000 | -101.600000 | -95.400000 | NaN | low | |
| 00:00 | Primary Budget Surplus | 6.251000 | -14.400000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Net Debt-to-GDP ratio | 65.300000 | 65.200000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Nominal Budget Balance | -115.502000 | -101.600000 | -82.000000 | -92.85 | low | |
| 00:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.410000 | -0.010000 | 0.100000 | 0.04 | low | |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:50 | Net Payrolls | -618.16 | 85.86 | -450 | -457.00 | Low | |
| 17:30 | Net Payrolls | -618.16 | 85.86 | -450 | -457.00 | Low | |
| 12:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.41 | -0.01 | 0.1 | 0.04 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Bank Lending MoM | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.72 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.41 | -0.01 | 0.1 | 0.04 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Net Payrolls | -618.160000 | 85.860000 | -450.000000 | -457.00 | low | |
| 00:00 | Bank Lending MoM | 1.800000 | 0.900000 | 0.800000 | 0.72 | low | |
| 00:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.410000 | -0.010000 | 0.100000 | 0.04 | low | |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | Interest Rate Decision | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15.08 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | 15.08 | medium | |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | CPI | 4.5 | 4.41 | 4.52 | 4.54 | Low | |
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.5 | 4.41 | 4.4 | 4.49 | Low | |
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.25 | 0.4 | 0.51 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CPI | 4.500000 | 4.410000 | 4.520000 | 4.54 | low | |
| 00:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.200000 | 0.250000 | 0.400000 | 0.51 | low | |
| 00:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.500000 | 4.410000 | 4.400000 | 4.49 | low | |
| Monday, January 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | Foreign Direct Investment | -5.25 | 9.82 | 0.5 | 0.58 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Current Account | -3.36 | -4.94 | -3.5 | -4.11 | Low | |
| 11:00 | FGV Consumer Confidence | 87.3 | 90.2 | 89 | 90.38 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Current Account | -3.360000 | -4.940000 | -3.500000 | -4.11 | low | |
| 00:00 | Foreign Direct Investment | -5.250000 | 9.820000 | 0.500000 | 0.58 | low | |
| 00:00 | FGV Consumer Confidence | 87.300000 | 90.200000 | 89.000000 | 90.38 | low | |
| Sunday, January 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, January 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | - | 0.25 | 0.4 | 0.51 | Low | |
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | - | 4.41 | 4.4 | 4.49 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Foreign Direct Investment | - | 9.82 | 9.6 | 9.68 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Current Account | - | -4.94 | -3.5 | -4.11 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Tuesday, January 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Monday, January 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Sunday, January 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, January 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.37 | -0.47 | -0.3 | -0.20 | Low | |
| 12:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.7 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.12 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 17.900000 | 17.600000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.700000 | -0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.12 | low | |
| 00:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -3.380000 | - | -3.300000 | -3.28 | low | |
| 00:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.370000 | -0.470000 | -0.300000 | -0.20 | low | |
| 00:00 | IGP-10 Inflation Index MoM | 0.300000 | 0.000000 | - | - | low | |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:20 | Car Production MoM | -15.8 | -11.6 | 5.1 | 13.98 | Low | |
| 13:20 | New Car Registrations MoM | 17.1 | -8.5 | 4.4 | -1.63 | Low | |
| 13:00 | Car Production MoM | - | -11.6 | 5.1 | 13.98 | Low | |
| 13:00 | New Car Registrations MoM | - | -8.5 | 4.4 | -1.63 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.92 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | New Car Registrations MoM | 17.100000 | -8.500000 | 4.400000 | -1.63 | low | |
| 00:00 | Car Production MoM | -15.800000 | -11.600000 | 5.100000 | 13.98 | low | |
| 00:00 | Auto Sales MoM | 17.100000 | -8.500000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Auto Production MoM | -15.800000 | -11.600000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.000000 | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.57 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.300000 | 0.900000 | 0.500000 | 0.92 | low | |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 55.140000 | 53.150000 | - | - | low | |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Brazilian Service Sector Growth MoM | -0.100000 | 0.400000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | Brazilian Service Sector Growth YoY | 2.500000 | 2.100000 | - | - | low | |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Sunday, January 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Saturday, January 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.26 | 4.46 | 4.4 | 4.42 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.2 | 0.24 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | CPI | 4.26 | 4.46 | 4.3 | 4.32 | Medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 17.600000 | 42.100000 | - | - | medium | |
| 00:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.330000 | 0.180000 | 0.200000 | 0.24 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.260000 | 4.460000 | 4.400000 | 4.42 | medium | |
| 00:00 | Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM | 0.260000 | 0.120000 | - | - | low | |
| 00:00 | CPI | 4.260000 | 4.460000 | 4.300000 | 4.32 | medium | |
| Thursday, January 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.68 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -1.2 | -0.5 | 1.3 | 1.60 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -1.200000 | -0.500000 | 1.300000 | 1.60 | low | |
| 00:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.68 | medium | |
| 00:00 | IGP-DI Inflation MoM | 0.100000 | 0.010000 | - | - | low | |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.44 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:00 | Balance of Trade | 9.63 | 6.65 | 6.39 | 5.61 | Low | |
| 13:00 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.1 | 49.6 | 50 | 50.05 | Low | |
| 13:00 | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.7 | 50.1 | 50.5 | 50.75 | Medium | |
| 08:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.32 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.44 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | Balance of Trade | 9.630000 | 6.650000 | 6.390000 | 5.61 | low | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.700000 | 50.100000 | 50.500000 | 50.75 | medium | |
| 00:00 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.100000 | 49.600000 | 50.000000 | 50.05 | low | |
| 00:00 | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.320000 | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.44 | low | |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:00 | Balance of Trade | - | 5.84 | 6.39 | 5.61 | Low | |
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| 00:00 | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 42.100000 | 47.700000 | - | - | medium | |
| Sunday, January 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical | |
| Sunday, January 1, 2023 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 216422446 | 216422446 | 216422446 | 216422446.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 83.698936938624 | 83.698936938624 | 83.698936938624 | 83.70 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 213.87513528772 | 213.87513528772 | 213.87513528772 | 213.88 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 15.743667172211 | 15.743667172211 | 15.743667172211 | 15.74 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 4.247 | 4.247 | 4.247 | 4.25 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 7.947 | 7.947 | 7.947 | 7.95 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 106131599 | 106131599 | 106131599 | 106131599.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 2173665655937.3 | 2173665655937.3 | 2173665655937.3 | 2173665655937.30 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 4.593562822832 | 4.593562822832 | 4.593562822832 | 4.59 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 43.6 | 43.6 | 43.6 | 43.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.4182602667498 | -1.4182602667498 | -1.4182602667498 | -1.42 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.9084804866778 | 2.9084804866778 | 2.9084804866778 | 2.91 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 18.110279421644 | 18.110279421644 | 18.110279421644 | 18.11 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 37.207509331689 | 37.207509331689 | 37.207509331689 | 37.21 | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2022 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 28.39609282774 | 28.39609282774 | 28.39609282774 | 28.40 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 215313498 | 215313498 | 215313498 | 215313498.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 79.102321887849 | 79.102321887849 | 79.102321887849 | 79.10 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 204.48212061577 | 204.48212061577 | 204.48212061577 | 204.48 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 19.185300972903 | 19.185300972903 | 19.185300972903 | 19.19 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 767491 | 767491 | 767491 | 767491.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 5.064 | 5.064 | 5.064 | 5.06 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 9.231 | 9.231 | 9.231 | 9.23 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.626 | 1.626 | 1.626 | 1.63 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 106313533 | 106313533 | 106313533 | 106313533.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1951923942083.3 | 1951923942083.3 | 1951923942083.3 | 1951923942083.30 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 9.2801060895687 | 9.2801060895687 | 9.2801060895687 | 9.28 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 39.4 | 39.4 | 39.4 | 39.40 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.4720677637741 | -2.4720677637741 | -2.4720677637741 | -2.47 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 3.0166943539301 | 3.0166943539301 | 3.0166943539301 | 3.02 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 19.630765003437 | 19.630765003437 | 19.630765003437 | 19.63 | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2021 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 19.109430367387 | 19.109430367387 | 19.109430367387 | 19.11 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 100.82790941472 | 100.82790941472 | 100.82790941472 | 100.83 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 15.010884966141 | 15.010884966141 | 15.010884966141 | 15.01 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 214326223 | 214326223 | 214326223 | 214326223.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 85.011503670198 | 85.011503670198 | 85.011503670198 | 85.01 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.46 | 2.46 | 2.46 | 2.46 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 187.1174250583 | 187.1174250583 | 187.1174250583 | 187.12 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 18.546900389497 | 18.546900389497 | 18.546900389497 | 18.55 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 745782 | 745782 | 745782 | 745782.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 7.523 | 7.523 | 7.523 | 7.52 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 2.142 | 2.142 | 2.142 | 2.14 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 13.159 | 13.159 | 13.159 | 13.16 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.641 | 1.641 | 1.641 | 1.64 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 103775454 | 103775454 | 103775454 | 103775454.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1670647399034.7 | 1670647399034.7 | 1670647399034.7 | 1670647399034.70 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 8.3016597558567 | 8.3016597558567 | 8.3016597558567 | 8.30 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 30.016666666667 | 30.016666666667 | 30.016666666667 | 30.02 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.7748398274637 | -2.7748398274637 | -2.7748398274637 | -2.77 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 4.7626043790861 | 4.7626043790861 | 4.7626043790861 | 4.76 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 1, 2020 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.910941948963 | -1.910941948963 | -1.910941948963 | -1.91 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | -3.2767587964736 | -3.2767587964736 | -3.2767587964736 | -3.28 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 16.453552010704 | 16.453552010704 | 16.453552010704 | 16.45 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Armed forces personnel, total | 762000 | 762000 | 762000 | 762000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 119.7826 | 119.7826 | 119.7826 | 119.78 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 21.197179687052 | 21.197179687052 | 21.197179687052 | 21.20 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 213196304 | 213196304 | 213196304 | 213196304.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 98.709881954655 | 98.709881954655 | 98.709881954655 | 98.71 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.43 | 2.43 | 2.43 | 2.43 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 172.77429125289 | 172.77429125289 | 172.77429125289 | 172.77 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 15.848526535637 | 15.848526535637 | 15.848526535637 | 15.85 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 565429 | 565429 | 565429 | 565429.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 7.429 | 7.429 | 7.429 | 7.43 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 13.697 | 13.697 | 13.697 | 13.70 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.649 | 1.649 | 1.649 | 1.65 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 99689363 | 99689363 | 99689363 | 99689363.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.55149793624878 | 0.55149793624878 | 0.55149793624878 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1476107231194.1 | 1476107231194.1 | 1476107231194.1 | 1476107231194.10 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.2117680380338 | 3.2117680380338 | 3.2117680380338 | 3.21 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 29.041666666667 | 29.041666666667 | 29.041666666667 | 29.04 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 1, 2019 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.2207778236084 | 1.2207778236084 | 1.2207778236084 | 1.22 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.6311379367888 | -3.6311379367888 | -3.6311379367888 | -3.63 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 94.2821 | 94.2821 | 94.2821 | 94.28 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Armed forces personnel, total | 762000 | 762000 | 762000 | 762000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 31.90307275085 | 31.90307275085 | 31.90307275085 | 31.90 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 211782878 | 211782878 | 211782878 | 211782878.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 92.565253188278 | 92.565253188278 | 92.565253188278 | 92.57 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.24 | 2.24 | 2.24 | 2.24 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.767338677579 | 14.767338677579 | 14.767338677579 | 14.77 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 167.39786028006 | 167.39786028006 | 167.39786028006 | 167.40 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 2.303 | 2.303 | 2.303 | 2.30 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 484996 | 484996 | 484996 | 484996.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 6.733 | 6.733 | 6.733 | 6.73 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 11.936 | 11.936 | 11.936 | 11.94 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 338.37 | 338.37 | 338.37 | 338.37 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.703 | 1.703 | 1.703 | 1.70 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.122919190362 | 14.122919190362 | 14.122919190362 | 14.12 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 105907298 | 105907298 | 105907298 | 105907298.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1873288205186.4 | 1873288205186.4 | 1873288205186.4 | 1873288205186.40 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.7329762121689 | 3.7329762121689 | 3.7329762121689 | 3.73 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 37.475 | 37.475 | 37.475 | 37.48 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to start a business (days) | 16.6 | 16.6 | 16.6 | 16.60 | Medium |
| Monday, January 1, 2018 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to start a business (days) | 20.1 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 20.10 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.783666761634 | 1.783666761634 | 1.783666761634 | 1.78 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.8584158931832 | -2.8584158931832 | -2.8584158931832 | -2.86 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 92.5184 | 92.5184 | 92.5184 | 92.52 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Armed forces personnel, total | 761500 | 761500 | 761500 | 761500.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 33.102334248042 | 33.102334248042 | 33.102334248042 | 33.10 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 210166592 | 210166592 | 210166592 | 210166592.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 86.607884119915 | 86.607884119915 | 86.607884119915 | 86.61 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.26 | 2.26 | 2.26 | 2.26 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.241203880676 | 14.241203880676 | 14.241203880676 | 14.24 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 161.37381418391 | 161.37381418391 | 161.37381418391 | 161.37 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 12.33 | 12.33 | 12.33 | 12.33 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 414854 | 414854 | 414854 | 414854.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 6.755 | 6.755 | 6.755 | 6.75 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 338.37 | 338.37 | 338.37 | 338.37 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.749 | 1.749 | 1.749 | 1.75 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.634999495299 | 14.634999495299 | 14.634999495299 | 14.63 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.54572373628616 | 0.54572373628616 | 0.54572373628616 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 104115637 | 104115637 | 104115637 | 104115637.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1916933898038.4 | 1916933898038.4 | 1916933898038.4 | 1916933898038.40 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.6648502837673 | 3.6648502837673 | 3.6648502837673 | 3.66 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 39.083333333333 | 39.083333333333 | 39.083333333333 | 39.08 | Medium |
| Sunday, January 1, 2017 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 46.916666666667 | 46.916666666667 | 46.916666666667 | 46.92 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 2063514977334.3 | 2063514977334.3 | 2063514977334.3 | 2063514977334.30 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.4463733503267 | 3.4463733503267 | 3.4463733503267 | 3.45 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to start a business (days) | 82.5 | 82.5 | 82.5 | 82.50 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.322869054044 | 1.322869054044 | 1.322869054044 | 1.32 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.2278761677737 | -1.2278761677737 | -1.2278761677737 | -1.23 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 91.0049 | 91.0049 | 91.0049 | 91.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Armed forces personnel, total | 730000 | 730000 | 730000 | 730000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 41.713807872024 | 41.713807872024 | 41.713807872024 | 41.71 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 208504960 | 208504960 | 208504960 | 208504960.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 83.669202650937 | 83.669202650937 | 83.669202650937 | 83.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.30 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 11.800766504608 | 11.800766504608 | 11.800766504608 | 11.80 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 155.66878623002 | 155.66878623002 | 155.66878623002 | 155.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 2.158 | 2.158 | 2.158 | 2.16 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 6.929 | 6.929 | 6.929 | 6.93 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 12.792 | 12.792 | 12.792 | 12.79 | Medium |