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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ParaguayParaguay Consumer Confidence fell to 39.67% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Paraguay Consumer Confidence fell to 39.67% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 3.32% from July's 42.99% reading. The reading missed the 43.6% consensus by 3.93%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 47.71%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 42.11%, vs 43.23% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 5th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
39.67
Actual
43.6
Consensus
42.99
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.07 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 43.41
Actual: 39.67
Error: +3.73
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Paraguay) was reported at 39.67% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 43.6% by 3.93%. The reading fell from the previous value of 42.99%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 46.37%, ranging from 38.21% to 55.34% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 41.3%, down from the prior three at 42.82%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.76%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.89%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 48.63%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.07%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 15, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - PY
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About Consumer Confidence — Paraguay
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 39.67 %, consensus 43.6 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 42.99 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 41.23 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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