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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ParaguayParaguay Consumer Confidence fell to 38.21% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Paraguay Consumer Confidence fell to 38.21% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 1.96% from April's 40.17% reading. The reading missed the 42.0% consensus by 3.79%. Consumer Confidence has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 45.75%, vs 52.37% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Confidence is now the lowest in 32 months.
Latest Release
38.21
Actual
42
Consensus
40.17
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 49.54
Actual: 40.17
Error: +9.36
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Paraguay) was reported at 38.21% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 42% by 3.79%. The reading fell from the previous value of 40.17%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 49.42%, ranging from 40.17% to 55.34% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 48.53%, down from the prior three at 50.85%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.81%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 47.47%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.13%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 16, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - PY
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About Consumer Confidence — Paraguay
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 38.21 %, consensus 42 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 40.17 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 51.32 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.