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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 7/30/26
Market-data read
USD/KRW reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.22 / 0.41 / 0.46). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±2.1% / ±2.8% / ±3.9% (7/14/28d).
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Money Supply (r=+0.54)
Inversely correlated: 3-Year KTB Auction (r=-0.72), Gross Domestic Product QoQ (r=-0.68), South Korea GDP Growth Rate (r=-0.65), Gross Domestic Product YoY (r=-0.60), GDP Growth Rate QoQ (r=-0.59), 20-Year KTB Auction (r=-0.58), GDP Growth Rate YoY (r=-0.56)
As of August 1, 2026, USD/KRW is trading at 1442.9959. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Market-data read
The USD/KRW forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Korean Won. The USD/KRW pair closed at 1,442.99 on August 1, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.22% from the previous close of 1,439.75.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a strong downtrend with a decline of 5.84%, ranging between 1,419.02 and 1,548.45. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 1,469.90. The 14-day RSI stands at 33.9, in the lower part of its range. Among macroeconomic indicators in our coverage, 3 Year Ktb Auction shows the strongest historical relationship with this instrument, negatively correlated (r = -0.72).
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.60%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 1,419.02 and 1,564.66, with the current price near the low end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 0.60% runs elevated for this pair, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. USD/KRW is currently trading 1.83% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the lower portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 33.9, currently in neutral territory. For cross-confirmation, the 3 Year Ktb Auction indicator carries the strongest historical correlation with USD/KRW (r = -0.72) and is worth watching for context.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.