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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GeorgiaGeorgia Retail Sales YoY fell to 13.0% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Georgia Retail Sales YoY fell to 13.0% in January 2026, released June 2026, down 3.6% from December's 16.6% reading. The reading missed the 17.0% consensus by 4.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.6%.
Latest Release
13
Actual
17
Consensus
16.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.5 percentage points
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 19.3
Actual: 13
Error: +6.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Retail Sales YoY (Georgia) was reported at 13% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 17% by 4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 16.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.8%, up from the prior three at 6.67%. In June readings over the past 3 years, Retail Sales YoY has averaged 8.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.5%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Retail Sales YoY - GE
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About Retail Sales YoY — Georgia
DEFINITION
Retail Sales YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total value of goods and services sold by retailers compared to the same period in the previous year. It provides insight into the strength of consumer spending and overall economic growth, making it a key metric for investors, businesses, and policymakers. A positive YoY growth indicates an increase in consumer demand, while a negative growth may signal a decline in consumer confidence and potential economic slowdown.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 13 %, consensus 17 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 16.6 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 11.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.