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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GeorgiaGeorgia Retail Sales YoY fell to 11.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Georgia Retail Sales YoY fell to 11.9% in April 2026, released September 2026, down 1.1% from March's 13.0% reading. The print exceeded the 9.5% consensus by 2.4%. Retail Sales YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Retail Sales YoY is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
11.9
Actual
9.5
Consensus
13
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 9.5
Actual: 11.9
Error: -2.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Retail Sales YoY (Georgia) was reported at 11.9% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 9.5% by 2.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 13%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 13.83%, up from the prior three at 10.23%. In September readings over the past 3 years, Retail Sales YoY has averaged 8.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Retail Sales YoY - GE
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About Retail Sales YoY — Georgia
DEFINITION
Retail Sales YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total value of goods and services sold by retailers compared to the same period in the previous year. It provides insight into the strength of consumer spending and overall economic growth, making it a key metric for investors, businesses, and policymakers. A positive YoY growth indicates an increase in consumer demand, while a negative growth may signal a decline in consumer confidence and potential economic slowdown.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 11.9 %, consensus 9.5 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 13 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 16.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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